Potential impacts for unfavourable weather conditions and the assessment of the magnitudes of their adverse effects on crop yields were studied. EPIC model was investigated for its capability on crop yield predictions for rice and soybean. Weather generationmodel was used to generate long-term climatic data. The model was verified with ohserved climate data of Suwon city. Fifty years weather data including abnormal conditions were generated and used for crop yield simulation by EPIC model. Crop yield probability function was derived from simulated crop yield data, which followed normal distribution. Probable crop yield reductions due to abnormal weather conditions were also analyzed.
Variation in Yield Response to Fertilizer Application in the Tropics : I. Quantifying Risks and Opportunities for Smallholders Based on Crop Growth Simulation ,
Rotter,R.;H.van Keulen;M.J.W.Jansen ,
Agricultural Systems / v.53,pp.41-68, 1997
기상 자료 미계측지점의 강우 예보 모형 ,
대한토목학회논문집 / v.14,pp.307-316, 1994