Systems and methods for measuring and verifying energy savings in buildings
원문보기
IPC분류정보
국가/구분
United States(US) Patent
등록
국제특허분류(IPC7판)
G06F-019/00
G05D-023/00
G05D-003/12
출원번호
US-0023392
(2011-02-08)
등록번호
US-8532808
(2013-09-10)
발명자
/ 주소
Drees, Kirk H.
Wenzel, Michael J.
출원인 / 주소
Johnson Controls Technology Company
대리인 / 주소
Foley & Lardner LLP
인용정보
피인용 횟수 :
13인용 특허 :
95
초록▼
A computer system for use with a building management system in a building includes a processing circuit configured to use historical data received from the building management system to automatically select a set of variables estimated to be significant to energy usage in the building. The processin
A computer system for use with a building management system in a building includes a processing circuit configured to use historical data received from the building management system to automatically select a set of variables estimated to be significant to energy usage in the building. The processing circuit is further configured to apply a regression analysis to the selected set of variables to generate a baseline model for predicting energy usage in the building.
대표청구항▼
1. A computer system for use with a building management system in a building, comprising: a processing circuit configured to use historical data received from the building management system to automatically select a set of variables for inclusion in a baseline model for predicting energy usage in th
1. A computer system for use with a building management system in a building, comprising: a processing circuit configured to use historical data received from the building management system to automatically select a set of variables for inclusion in a baseline model for predicting energy usage in the building by performing statistical hypothesis testing on potential variables;wherein the processing circuit is further configured to apply a regression analysis to the selected set of variables to generate the baseline model for predicting energy usage in the buildingwherein the processing circuit determines which of energy days and degree days to use in the regression analysis by calculating an enthalpy balance point estimated to minimize energy usage in the building, calculating a temperature balance point estimated to minimize energy usage in the building, calculating a historical energy day value based on the calculated enthalpy balance point, calculating a historical degree day value based on the calculated temperature balance point, and comparing a variance associated with the historical energy day value to a variance associated with the historical degree day value. 2. The computer system of claim 1, wherein the regression analysis is a partial least squares regression. 3. The computer system of claim 1, wherein the processing circuit is configured to re-execute the regression analysis with a different regression parameter in response to a determination that the baseline model does not accurately estimate energy usage for test data for a historical time period. 4. The computer system of claim 3, wherein the different regression parameter comprises at least one of a regression model order and a number of variables in the set of variables. 5. The computer system of claim 1, wherein the processing circuit is further configured to store the baseline model in memory for use in at least one of: a calculation of energy savings, a validation of an expected performance, and a detection for whether baseline contract terms have changed. 6. The computer system of claim 1, wherein the processing circuit is configured to calculate an enthalpy value and to use the enthalpy value in the regression analysis and as part of the baseline model for predicting energy usage. 7. The computer system of claim 6, wherein the processing circuit uses the calculated enthalpy in the regression analysis and as part of the baseline model rather than using separate variables of temperature and humidity in the selected set of variables. 8. The computer system of claim 1, wherein the processing circuit is configured to calculate enthalpy and to use the calculated enthalpy to calculate heating and cooling energy days; and wherein the processing circuit uses the calculated heating and cooling energy days in the regression analysis rather than degree days. 9. The computer system of claim 1, wherein the processing circuit is configured to automatically identify non-representative data of the historical data and to remove or replace the non-representative data to improve integrity of the automatic selection and the regression analysis; wherein the processing circuit excludes a variable from the selected set of variables in response to a determination that there is insufficient data for the variable;wherein the processing circuit identifies the non-representative data by conducting at least one of an outlier analysis, a data cluster analysis, stuck data analysis, and a missing data analysis. 10. The computer system of claim 1, wherein the processing circuit is configured to calculate the enthalpy balance point estimated to minimize energy usage in the building by: performing an iteratively reweighed least squares process on the enthalpy balance point. 11. A method for use with a building management system in a building, comprising: receiving historical data from the building management system;using the historical data to automatically select a set of variables for inclusion in a baseline model for predicting energy usage in the building by performing statistical hypothesis testing on potential variables;applying a regression analysis to the selected set of variables to generate the baseline model for predicting energy usage in the building,determining which of energy days and degree days to use in the regression analysis by calculating an enthalpy balance point estimated to minimize energy usage in the building, calculating a temperature balance point estimated to minimize energy usage in the building, calculating a historical energy day value based on the calculated enthalpy balance point, calculating a historical degree day value based on the calculated temperature balance point, and comparing a variance associated with the historical energy day value to a variance associated with the historical degree day value. 12. The method of claim 11, wherein the regression analysis is a partial least squares regression. 13. The method of claim 11, further comprising: re-executing the regression analysis with a different regression parameter in response to a determination that the baseline model does not accurately estimate energy usage for test data for a historical time period. 14. The method of claim 13, wherein the different regression parameter comprises at least one of a regression model order and a number of variables in the set of variables. 15. The method of claim 11, further comprising: storing the baseline model in memory for use in at least one of: a calculation of energy savings, a validation of an expected performance, and a detection for whether baseline contract terms have changed. 16. The method of claim 11, further comprising: calculating an enthalpy value; andusing the calculated enthalpy value in the regression analysis and as part of the baseline model for predicting energy usage. 17. The method of claim 16, further comprising: using calculated enthalpy in the regression analysis and as part of the baseline model rather than using separate variables of temperature and humidity in the selected set of variables. 18. The method of claim 11, further comprising: calculating enthalpy;using the calculated enthalpy to calculate heating and cooling energy days, wherein the calculated heating and cooling energy days are used in the regression analysis rather than degree days. 19. The method of claim 11, further comprising: automatically identifying non-representative data from the historical data;removing or replacing the non-representative data to improve integrity of the automatic selection and the regression analysis;excluding a variable from the selected set of variables in response to a determination that there is insufficient good data for the variable;wherein identifying the non-representative data comprises conducting at least one of an outlier analysis, a data cluster analysis, stuck data analysis, and a missing data analysis. 20. The method of claim 11, wherein calculating the enthalpy balance point estimated to minimize energy usage in the building comprises: performing an iteratively reweighed least squares process on the enthalpy balance point. 21. Computer-readable non-transitory media with computer-executable instructions embodied thereon that when executed by a computer system perform a method for use with a building management system in a building, wherein the computer-executable instructions comprise: instructions for using historical data from the building management system to select a set of variables for inclusion in a baseline model for predicting energy usage in the building by performing statistical hypothesis testing on potential variables;instructions for applying a regression analysis to the selected set of variables to generate the baseline model for predicting energy usage in the building, andinstructions for determining which of energy days and degree days to use in the regression analysis by calculating an enthalpy balance point estimated to minimize energy usage in the building, calculating a temperature balance point estimated to minimize energy usage in the building, calculating a historical energy day value based on the calculated enthalpy balance point, calculating a historical degree day value based on the calculated temperature balance point, and comparing a variance associated with the historical energy day value to a variance associated with the historical degree day value.
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