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A computer simulates flight routes for simulated airborne transmitters across a spatial region divided into unit area tiles and over time based on actual aircraft flight plan data. The computer determines transmitter counts per tile per time interval based on the flight routes and assigns transmit p

A computer simulates flight routes for simulated airborne transmitters across a spatial region divided into unit area tiles and over time based on actual aircraft flight plan data. The computer determines transmitter counts per tile per time interval based on the flight routes and assigns transmit parameters, including transmit message rates, to the transmitters. The computer determines transmit message rates per tile based on the transmitter counts and the transmit parameters. The computer generates, for a simulated receiver, an antenna pattern covering at least some of the tiles, and converts the transmit message rates of the covered tiles to a total effective receive message rate of interfering messages at the receiver. The computer determines a probability of successful detection of a desired message among the interfering messages at the receiver based on the effective receive message rate.

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1. A computer implemented method comprising: simulating flight routes for simulated airborne transmitters across a spatial region divided into area tiles and over time based on actual aircraft flight plan data;generating a clock signal and deriving periodic time intervals from the clock signal;deter

1. A computer implemented method comprising: simulating flight routes for simulated airborne transmitters across a spatial region divided into area tiles and over time based on actual aircraft flight plan data;generating a clock signal and deriving periodic time intervals from the clock signal;determining transmitter counts per tile per time interval based on the flight routes;assigning transmit parameters, including transmit message rates, to the transmitters;determining transmit message rates per tile based on the transmitter counts and the transmit parameters assigned to the transmitters in the transmitter counts;generating, for a simulated receiver, an antenna pattern covering at least some of the tiles;converting the transmit message rates of the covered tiles to a total effective receive message rate of interfering messages at the receiver; anddetermining a probability of successful detection of a desired message among the interfering messages at the receiver based in part on the effective receive message rate. 2. The method of claim 1, wherein: the simulating flight routes includes respectively flying each transmitter from a departing airport beginning at a departure time to a destination airport along a flight route that traverses at least some of the tiles and at a velocity that corresponds to a distance of the flight route between the airports, wherein the airports and departure time are each identified in the actual flight plan data; andthe determining transmitter counts includes counting transmitters that traverse each tile during the periodic time intervals as a function of time. 3. The method of claim 1, wherein the assigning transmit parameters includes: dividing the transmitters in each transmitter count among multiple link technologies such that each transmitter corresponds to one link technology; andassigning different parameters to the transmitters, including different transmit message rates, based on the corresponding link technologies of the transmitters. 4. The method of claim 3, wherein the dividing includes dividing the transmitters in each transmitter count among Mode S, ADS-B, and ATCRB link technologies. 5. The method of claim 3, wherein the assigning different transmit parameters further includes assigning a range of transmit powers across the transmitters corresponding to each link technology. 6. The method of claim 5, wherein the assigning different transmit parameters further includes assigning transmit directions substantially toward and substantially away from the receiver to respective first and second portions of the transmitters corresponding to at least one of the link technologies. 7. The method of claim 1, wherein the converting includes: determining receiver-related weighting factors per tile per based on a message error rate (MER) of the receiver absent interfering signals and signal-to-noise ratios per tile relative to a noise floor and predetermined transmit powers for the transmitters per tile;applying the receiver-related weighting factors to corresponding ones of the transmit message rates to produce the effective receive message rate; andcombining the weighted transmit message rates to produce the effective receive message rate. 8. The method of claim 1, wherein the determining a probability includes: generating a clear sky probability of successful detection of the desired message absent interfering messages;generating a Poisson arrival rate distribution of the interfering messages that is based on the effective receive message rate; anddetermining the probability of successful detection of the desired message among the interfering signals based on the clear sky probability and the Poisson arrival rate distribution. 9. The method of claim 1, wherein: the assigning includes: dividing the transmitters in each transmitter count among multiple link technologies such that each transmitter corresponds to one link technology; andassigning different transmit parameters, including different transmit message rates, to the transmitters based on the corresponding link technologies of the transmitters;the determining transmit message rates includes determining transmit message rates per tile for each link technology;the converting includes converting the transmit message rates per tile for each link technology to a corresponding effective receive message rate of interfering messages for that link technology; andthe determining a probability includes determining a probability of successful detection of the desired message based in part on the effective receive message rates of interfering messages for all of the link technologies. 10. An apparatus: comprising: an antenna;a radio frequency (RF) receiver coupled to the antenna; anda controller, coupled to the RF receiver, configured to perform a computer simulation to: determine transmitter counts per tile across a spatial region divided tiles;assign transmit parameters, including transmit message rates, to the transmitters;determine transmit message rates per tile based on the transmitter counts and the transmit parameters assigned to the transmitters in the transmitter counts;generate, for a receiver, an antenna pattern covering at least some of the tiles;convert the transmit message rates of the covered tiles to a total effective receive message rate of interfering messages at the receiver; anddetermine a probability of successful detection of a desired message among the interfering messages at the receiver based in part on the effective receive message rate. 11. The apparatus of claim 10, wherein the controller is further configured to: determine an actual probability of successful detection of an actual desired message among actual interference messages delivered from the RF receiver;compare the actual probability to the simulated probability; andadjust signal processing parameters in the RF receiver responsive to results of the compare. 12. The apparatus of claim 10, wherein the controller is configured to determine transmitter counts by: simulating flight routes for simulated airborne transmitters across a spatial region divided into unit area tiles and over time based on actual aircraft flight plan data;deriving periodic time intervals from a clock signal; anddetermining transmitter counts per tile per time interval based on the flight routes. 13. The apparatus of claim 12, wherein: the controller is configured to simulate flight routes by respectively flying each transmitter from a departing airport beginning at a departure time to a destination airport along a flight route that traverses at least some of the tiles and at a velocity that corresponds to a distance of the flight route between the airports, wherein the airports and departure time are each identified in the actual flight plan data; andthe controller is configured to determine transmitter counts by counting transmitters that traverse each tile during the periodic time intervals as a function of time. 14. The apparatus of claim 10, wherein the controller is configured to assign transmit parameters by: dividing the transmitters in each transmitter count among multiple link technologies such that each transmitter corresponds to one link technology; andassigning different parameters to the transmitters, including different transmit message rates, based on the corresponding link technologies of the transmitters. 15. The apparatus of claim 10, wherein the controller is configured to convert by: determining receiver-related weighting factors per tile per based on a message error rate (MER) of the receiver absent interfering signals and signal-to-noise ratios per tile relative to a noise floor density and predetermined transmit powers for the transmitters per tile;applying the receiver-related weighting factors to corresponding ones of the transmit message rates to produce the effective receive message rate; andcombining the weighted transmit message rates to produce the effective receive message rate. 16. The apparatus of claim 10, wherein the controller is configured to determine a probability by: generating a clear sky probability of successful detection of the desired message absent interfering messages;generating a Poisson arrival rate distribution of the interfering messages that is based on the effective receive message rate; anddetermining the probability of successful detection of the desired message among the interfering signals based on the clear sky probability and the Poisson arrival rate distribution. 17. A non-transitory tangible computer readable storage media encoded with instructions that, when executed by a processor, cause the processor to: simulate flight routes for simulated airborne transmitters across a spatial region divided into unit area tiles and over time based on actual aircraft flight plan data;derive periodic time intervals from a clock signal provided to the processor;determine transmitter counts per tile per time interval based on the flight routes;assign transmit parameters, including transmit message rates, to the transmitters;determine transmit message rates per tile based on the transmitter counts and the transmit parameters assigned to the transmitters in the transmitter counts;generate, for a simulated receiver, an antenna pattern covering at least some of the tiles;convert the transmit message rates of the covered tiles to a total effective receive message rate of interfering messages at the receiver; anddetermine a probability of successful detection of a desired message among the interfering messages at the receiver based in part on the effective receive message rate. 18. The computer readable storage media of claim 17, wherein: the instructions to cause the processor to simulate flight routes include instructions to cause the processor to respectively fly each transmitter from a departing airport beginning at a departure time to a destination airport along a flight route that traverses at least some of the tiles and at a velocity that corresponds to a distance of the flight route between the airports, wherein the airports and departure time are each identified in the actual flight plan data; andthe instructions to cause the processor to determine transmitter counts include instructions to cause the processor to count transmitter that traverse each tile during the periodic time intervals as a function of time. 19. The computer readable storage media of claim 17, wherein the instructions to cause the processor to assign transmit parameters include instructions to cause the processor to: divide the transmitters in each transmitter count among multiple link technologies such that each transmitter corresponds to one link technology; andassign different parameters to the transmitters, including different transmit message rates, based on the corresponding link technologies of the transmitters. 20. The computer readable storage media of claim 17, wherein the instructions to cause the processor to convert include instructions to cause the processor to: determine receiver-related weighting factors per tile per based on a message error rate (MER) of the receiver absent interfering signals and signal-to-noise ratios per tile relative to a noise floor and predetermined transmit powers for the transmitters per tile;apply the receiver-related weighting factors to corresponding ones of the transmit message rates to produce the effective receive message rate; andcombine the weighted transmit message rates to produce the effective receive message rate. 21. The computer readable storage media of claim 17, wherein the instructions to cause the processor to determine a probability include instructions to cause the processor to: generate a clear sky probability of successful detection of the desired message absent interfering messages;generate a Poisson arrival rate distribution of the interfering messages that is based on the effective receive message rate; anddetermine the probability of successful detection of the desired message among the interfering signals based on the clear sky probability and the Poisson arrival rate distribution. 22. The computer readable storage media of claim 17, wherein: the instructions to cause the processor to assign include instructions to cause the processor to: divide the transmitters in each transmitter count among multiple link technologies such that each transmitter corresponds to one link technology; andassign different transmit parameters, including different transmit message rates, to the transmitters based on the corresponding link technologies of the transmitters;the instructions to cause the processor to determine transmit message rates include instructions to cause the processor to determine transmit message rates per tile for each link technology;the instructions to cause the processor to convert include instructions to cause the processor to convert the transmit message rates per tile for each link technology to a corresponding effective receive message rate of interfering messages for that link technology; andthe instructions to cause the processor to determine a probability include instructions to cause the processor to determine a probability of successful detection of the desired message based in part on the effective receive message rates of interfering messages for all of the link technologies.