보고서 정보
주관연구기관 |
한국과학기술기획평가원 Korea Institute of Science and Technology Evaluation and Planning |
연구책임자 |
안상진
|
보고서유형 | 최종보고서 |
발행국가 | 대한민국 |
언어 |
한국어
|
발행년월 | 2017-04 |
과제시작연도 |
2016 |
주관부처 |
미래창조과학부 Ministry of Science, ICT and Future Planning |
등록번호 |
TRKO201700017390 |
과제고유번호 |
1711047974 |
사업명 |
과학기술종합조정지원 |
DB 구축일자 |
2017-11-25
|
DOI |
https://doi.org/10.23000/TRKO201700017390 |
초록
▼
○ 앞으로 10년 뒤 미래는 움직이는 것이다
「미래이슈 분석보고서」는 현재 우리 사회가 안고 있는 주요 이슈의 분석을 통해 10년 후 이 이슈들이 어떤 중요성과 의미를 가지고 전개될 것인지를 살펴봄으로써 미래준비를 선제적으로 하기 위한 것이다. 2020년, 2040년 등 특정연도를 목표로 한 기존의 미래예측 보고서와는 달리 이번 보고서는 구체적인 문제해결책 제시보다는 향후 10년이라는 기간을 설정하고 이 기간 동안에 이슈들이 어떻게 발전되는지에 대한 동적인 분석에 초점을 맞추었다. 각 이슈에 대한 전문가 인식조사를 바탕으로 세
○ 앞으로 10년 뒤 미래는 움직이는 것이다
「미래이슈 분석보고서」는 현재 우리 사회가 안고 있는 주요 이슈의 분석을 통해 10년 후 이 이슈들이 어떤 중요성과 의미를 가지고 전개될 것인지를 살펴봄으로써 미래준비를 선제적으로 하기 위한 것이다. 2020년, 2040년 등 특정연도를 목표로 한 기존의 미래예측 보고서와는 달리 이번 보고서는 구체적인 문제해결책 제시보다는 향후 10년이라는 기간을 설정하고 이 기간 동안에 이슈들이 어떻게 발전되는지에 대한 동적인 분석에 초점을 맞추었다. 각 이슈에 대한 전문가 인식조사를 바탕으로 세계경제포럼(WEF)이 글로벌 리스크(Global Risks)에서 사용한 「네트워크 분석」1을 활용하여 이슈와 이슈간의 연관관계, 그리고 이슈와 밀접한 관계가 있는 핵심기술과의 연관관계를 동적인 시각에서 분석하였다.
○ 보고서 작성경과
미래부는 2014년 12월 ‘미래준비위원회’를 구성하고 동 위원회를 중심으로 이슈 분석에 착수하였다. 미래준비위원회는 OECD 미래 전망보고서 등 국내외 관련 문헌정보와 국가정책연구포털사이트 등 다양한 데이터를 기초로 하여 경제·사회·환경·정치 분야에서 총 28개 분석대상 이슈를 선정하였다. 이와 별도로 미래사회에 광범위하게 영향을 미칠 미래기술(핵심기술) 15개도 선정하였다. 분석대상으로 선정된 이슈에 대해서 지난 4월 학계, 연구계 등 전문가와 미래 세대인 대학생 등 총 1,477명을 대상으로 각 이슈의 중요성, 이슈와의 연관관계, 그리고 핵심기술과의 연관관계 등에 대한 인식조사를 실시하고 그 결과를 「네트워크 분석」을 통하여 분석하였다.
○ 10년 앞에서 현재를 보다
제1부에서는 28개 분석대상 이슈 중 응답자들이 10년 후의 관점에서 가장 중요하게 생각하는 이슈, 28개 이슈에 대한 세대 간, 성별간 인식 차이, 그리고 현재와 10년 후의 중요성에 대한 인식을 조사하였다. 그리고 각 이슈별로 미래에 현실적으로 문제가 발생할 가능성(발생 가능성)과 사회에 미칠 영향력, 이슈와 이슈 간의 연관관계, 그리고 이슈와 핵심기술과의 연관관계 등을 분석하였다. 또한 주요 이슈별로 과거에는 어떻게 정책적으로 대응해왔는지에 대하여 정책연구 아젠다 분석을 통해 살펴보았고, 각 이슈들에 대한 일반 대중들의 구체적인 관심사항을 미디어 키워드 분석을 통하여 살펴보았다.
제2부에서는 미래준비위원회 차원에서 이들 이슈와는 별도로 우리사회가 준비해야 할 것으로 선정한 이슈를 분석·정리하였다.
○ 10년 후 중요한 10대 이슈
10년 후의 관점에서 가장 중요하게 생각하는 이슈에는 저출산·초고령화, 불평등문제, 미래세대 삶의 불안정성 등으로 나타났다. 이외에도 고용불안, 저성장과 성장전략 전환 등 경제이슈, 국가간 환경영향 증대와 기후변화 등 환경이슈, 남북문제 등 정치이슈 등이 10대 이슈에 포함되었다.
○ 이슈에 대한 인식
28개 이슈의 중요성에 대한 인식은 세대 간에 큰 차이가 없었으나, 여성이 남성에 비해 같은 이슈에 대한 중요성의 정도를 더 높게 평가하였다. 10대 이슈 중에서 「저출산·초고령화 사회」, 「기후변화 및 자연재해」, 「사이버 범죄」, 「에너지 및 자원고갈」, 「국가간 환경영향 증대」는 현재보다 미래에 더욱 중요할 것으로 분석되었다. 10대 이슈 이외에 「식량안보」, 「생물 다양성의 위기」, 「초연결 사회」, 「글로벌 거버넌스」, 「삶의 질을 중시하는 라이프스타일」 등은 미래에 부 상할 이슈로 분석되었다.
○ 미래 발생 가능성과 영향력
28개 이슈들의 발생 가능성과 우리 사회에 미칠 영향력에 대한 평가결과를 분석하였다. 분석 결과, 10대 이슈 대부분은 발생 가능성이 높고 영향력이 큰 것으로 나타났다. 10대 이슈 중 「북한과 안보/통일문제」는 발생 가능성은 낮으나 영향력이 큰 것으로 나타났다. 10대 이슈에는 포함되지 않았지만 「디지털 경제」와 「초연결 사회」 이슈가 상대적으로 발생 가능성이 높고 영향력이 큰 것으로 나타났다.
○ 매우 중요해진 삶의 질
주요 이슈별로 이슈 상호 간 연관관계에 대한 분석을 실시하였다.
28개 분석대상 이슈에 대해서 네트워크 분석을 통하여 [그림 1]과 같이 이슈 상호 간 연관관계를 도출하였다. 그림에서 이슈가 가운데 위치할수록 다른 이슈와의 연관관계가 많으며, 선의 굵기는 연관관계의 정도를 나타낸다. 즉, 선이 굵을수록 연관관계가 많다.
다른 이슈와 높은 연관관계를 맺고 있는 이슈는 ①삶의 질을 중시하는 라이프스타일, ②고용불안, ③불평등 문제, ④산업구조의 양극화, ⑤저출산·초고령화 사회, ⑥초연결 사회, ⑦저성장과 성장전략 전환, ⑧재난위험, ⑨글로벌 거버넌스 순으로 나타났다. 특히「삶의 질을 중시하는 라이프스타일」은 이슈 그 자체로서는 중요성과 영향력이 상대적으로 낮으나 여러 이슈와 가장 연관관계가 많은 이슈로 나타났다. 다른 이슈와 연관관계가 높은 이슈일수록 사회적으로 영향력이 미치는 범위가 넓기 때문에 이슈의 대응에 있어서도 관련 이슈와 함께 포괄적인 접근이 필요하다.
다른 이슈와 연관성이 높은 이슈인 「고용불안」, 「저출산·초고령화 사회」, 「불평등 문제」와 10대 이슈 중 환경 분야의 「기후변화 및 자연재해」, 「에너지 및 자원고갈」에 대하여 다른 이슈와의 연관관계를 예시적으로 살펴보았다.
○ 이슈와 핵심기술의 연관관계
네트워크 분석을 통해 핵심기술과 이슈 간 연관관계에 대해 [그림 2]를 도출하였다. 이슈가 다양한 핵심기술과 연관될수록 그림의 중앙에 놓이게 된다. 또한 이슈와 핵심기술 간에 연관성이 높을수록 이슈와 핵심기술을 연결하는 선이 굵게 나타나고, 많은 이슈들과 연관성을 가질수록 핵심기술을 표시하는 점(node)도 크게 나타난다.
과학기술과 긴밀하게 관계를 맺고 있는 이슈는 ①제조업의 혁명, ②재난위험, ③삶의 질을 중시하는 라이프스타일, ④생물 다양성의 위기 ⑤에너지 및 자원고갈, ⑥난치병 극복, ⑦저출산·초고령화 사회,⑧산업구조의 양극화, ⑨저성장과 성장전략 전환 순으로 나타났다. 또한 다양한 이슈와 연관관계를 갖는 핵심기술로는 ‘인공지능’, ‘빅데이터’, ‘사물인터넷’ 등으로 나타났다. 핵심기술 중 ‘인공지능’, ‘사물인터넷’, ‘유전공학’, ‘온실가스 저감기술’, ‘원자력기술’이 미래 우리 사회의 어떤 이슈와 관계를 가지고 있는지를 예시적으로 살펴보았다.
○ 주요 이슈별 정책 아젠다 및 미디어 키워드 분석
과거 15년간 주요 이슈별로 정책적 아젠다를 어떻게 만들어 대응해 왔는지를 조망함으로써 과거의 경험을 앞으로의 정책수립 등에 참고하고자 했다. 지난 15년간 정책연구 결과들을 체계적으로 관리하고 있는 국가정책연구포털을 통해 주요 이슈별로 정책 아젠다들이 어떻게 전개되어 왔는지를 빅데이터 분석을 통해 살펴보았다.
예를 들면 ‘에너지 문제’의 경우에는 2000년대 초반 우리나라의 에너지 수급사정은 비교적 안정적이었기 때문에 ‘남북에너지 협력(2002)’이 검토되었다. 그러나 ‘고유가 충격(2004)’과 < 교토의정서 > 발효에 따른 기후변화에 대한 국제적인 대응(2005)에 따라 환경친화적이고 효율적인 에너지 공급을 위한 ‘에너지 믹스(2006)’, ‘스마트그리드와 전기자동차(2009)’, ‘신재생에너지(2010)’에 대한 정책 논의가 활발해졌다. 특히 순환 정전사태 이후에는 에너지공급뿐만 아니라 ‘에너지소비효율화(2011)’에 대한 관심이 높아졌고, 최근 기술발전으로 시추가격 인하에 따른 ‘셰일가스(2013)’가 정책 아젠다화되었다.
또한 SNS 등 미디어 키워드 분석을 통해 최근 이슈에 대한 대중의 관심사항을 알아보았다. 예를 들어 「삶의 질을 중시하는 라이프 스타일」의 경우에는 ‘웰빙’, ‘여가’ 등이 대표적인 키워드로 나타났다. 따라서 삶의 질을 중시하는 라이프스타일 실현을 위해서는 웰빙과 여가에 대한 정책적 대응이 중요해질 것이다.
○ 미래준비위원회가 제안하는 이슈
미래준비위원회에서 자체적으로 발굴하고 설문조사 등을 통해 선정된 이슈도 분석하였다. 이슈를 사회문화의 변화, 산업경제의 변화, 그리고 삶의 환경 변화로 나누고 각 이슈에 대한 미래준비위원회의 시각을 정리하였다.
○ 중점 논의할 2개 이슈는?
이번 분석결과를 바탕으로 이슈 간의 연관관계, 이슈와 핵심기술간의 연관관계가 높은 2개 이슈를 선정하여 과학기술과 ICT를 활용한 미래전략을 마련할 계획이다. 미래전략 마련을 위하여 선정된 이슈와 연관관계를 가지는 이슈들을 종합적으로 고려할 것이며, 그 해결에는 과학기술과 ICT를 활용하는 방안으로 추진할 계획이다.
( 출처 : 요약본-한글판 212p )
Abstract
▼
○ Overview
The purpose of this report is to analyze the major issues that our society faces in the present so that we can brace ourselves for the future by understanding the significance and meaning that the issues present and how they would unfold in the future. Unlike past reports that predicte
○ Overview
The purpose of this report is to analyze the major issues that our society faces in the present so that we can brace ourselves for the future by understanding the significance and meaning that the issues present and how they would unfold in the future. Unlike past reports that predicted the future in targeted specific years such as 2020 or 2040, this report focuses on dynamic analysis to see how these issues develop over the span of a decade rather than providing concrete solutions. Each issue is analyzed from a dynamic point of view to discover the interconnection between issues and relationship between these issues and key technologies through network analysis1 of a perception survey used in Global Risks (WEF).
○ Process
The Future Preparatory Committee, formed by the Ministry of Science, ICT and Future Planning in December 2014, began the analysis on future issues. The Committee selected 28 issues to analyze in the fields of economy, society, environment, and politics based on various data such as documents from home and abroad(e.g. Future Global Shocks, OECD 2011), and the database for national policy research. Furthermore, 15 future promising technologies(key technologies) that might have a widespread impact on the future society were chosen for analysis as well. Perception surveys were conducted in April 2015 on the significance of the issues,correlation between issues, and relationship between the issues and key technologies. The survey results were analyzed through Network Analysis. A total of 1,477 respondents, including experts from academia and research groups and college students who are the future generation participated in the survey.
○ Major Contents
In the first part of the report, the respondents chose the top 10 issues out of 28 issues that were analyzed based on their opinion on whether the issues will bear great significance after a decade.
In this chapter, the difference in perception between generations and genders toward the 28 issues is also discussed. Furthermore,it analyzes the likelihood of these issues of becoming a reality in the future, the impact it will have on society, the interconnection between issues, and how the issues are associated with key technologies. In addition, this part looked into how policies in the past were used to respond to the major issues by analyzing the policy research agenda and the general public’s specific interest in the issues by analyzing the keywords that appeared in the media.
The second part of this report describes in detail several issues that might be significantly serious in the future and thus begin to prepare for them. The described issues were selected by the Future Preparatory Committee.
○ Top 10 Issues
Among the issues that are considered to be the most important issues after a decade, Low Fertility & Super-aging Society, Social Inequality, Unstable Life of Future Generations ranked first, second,and third respectively. Other than the three issues, there are economic issues such as Job Insecurity and Low Growth & Shift in Growth Strategies, environmental issues such as Growing Cross-Border Environmental Impact and Climate Change, and political issues including the North and South Korean Problems. (see Figure 1)
○ Perception Gap on the Issues
There was no significant perception gap between generations on the importance of the 28 issues. However, a gender gap was recognizable. Women tended to believe that some issues like Multiculturalism and Change in Traditional Family System were more important than others while men did not.
○ Likelihood and Future Impact of the Issues
The analysis of the experts on the likelihood of the 28 issues occurring and their expected impact on our society showed that nine out of 10 issues, save for National Security & Unification,were estimated highly likely to occur and their impacts also were expected to be huge (see Figure 2). The likelihood of occurrence of National Security & Unification was estimated to be low, but its expected impact was great. Digital Economy and Hyper-connected Society were not included in the 10 most important issues, but these issues were considered highly likely to occur and to have great social impact.
○ Interconnection among the Issues
Network analysis was used as a means to study the correlation among the 28 issues and Figure 3 was developed as a result. The figure shows that those placed at the center have more connection with other issues and the thickness of the lines shows how closely related those issues are to each other. The thicker the lines, the more related those issues are.
The most connected issues are ①Emphasis on Quality of Life②Job Insecurity ③Social Inequality ④Bipolarized Industrial Structure ⑤Low Fertility & Super-aging Society ⑥Hyperconnected Society ⑦Low Growth & Shift in Growth Strategies ⑧Disaster Risk and ⑨Global Governance in the order named.
Distinctively, Emphasis on Quality of Life is low in importance and with less social impacts but it is the most connected issue. As issues with greater connection tend to have more and wider social impacts,a more comprehensive approach is required with due consideration of other related issues.
The following diagram shows how closely related some of the most connected issues such as Job Insecurity, Low Fertility& Super-aging Society, Social Inequality and some of the environmental issues out of the 10 most important issues including Climate Change & Natural Disasters, Energy Shortage & Resource Depletion are with other issues.
○ Interconnection between Issues and Key Technologies
Figure 4 was developed, based on network analysis, in order to visually display links between key technologies and issues. The issues placed at the center have a greater number of related key technologies than other issues. The more related the issues and key technologies are, the thicker the lines become. In addition, the key technologies connected with a higher number of issues tend to have larger nodes.
Issues closely related to science and technology were ① Manufacturing Revolution ②Disaster Risk ③Emphasis on Quality of Life ④Biodiversity Crisis ⑤Energy Shortage & Resource Depletion ⑥Fight against Incurable Diseases ⑦Low Fertility & Super-aging Society ⑧Bipolarized Industrial Structure and ⑨Low Growth & Shift in Growth Strategies in the order named. Moreover,the key technologies with a greater number of related issues were Artificial Intelligence, Big Data, and IoT. Artificial Intelligence, IoT, Genetic Engineering, GHG Reduction Technology, and Nuclear Energy Technology were taken as examples to explain how such key technologies are related to our future social issues.
○ Policy Agenda Trends
This section looks into the government’s policy agendas and responses to a set of major issues over the past 15 years to offer guidance for future policy formulation. Applying a big data analytics approach, policy agenda trends were analyzed using the National Knowledge Information System (NKIS) database of policy papers published over the past 15 years.
○ Energy Policy Agenda
Figure 5 shows the changes in the energy policy agenda from 2000 to 2014. In 2002, Korea could focus on “inter-Korean energy cooperation” rather than the supply itself thanks to the relatively stable supply of oil in the early 2000s. Over time, however, with rising oil prices and the introduction of the Kyoto Protocol, such topics as the “oil price shock (2004),” global response to climate change including “Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change(2005),” environmentally-friendly “energy mix (2006)” for efficient energy supply, “smart grid and electric vehicles (2009),” and “new and renewable energy (2010)” gained more significance. After experiencing the rolling power outage in 2011, “energy efficiency(2011)” emerged as an important topic. Finally, with declining drilling prices driven by technological development, “shale gas(2013)” became one of the key policy agendas.
○ New Growth Strategy Agenda
Figure 6 shows the changes in the new growth strategy agenda from 2000 to 2014. As the limitations of a catch-up economic strategy became apparent in the 2000s, efforts began to transition the “Korean development model (2003)” into leadership economic growth by reinforcing internal capacities through the “Knowledgebased economy (2000)” or “Science and technology (2005).” These internal efforts were accompanies by attempts to externally extend Korea’s economy via the “Korea-U.S. FTA (2007)” and the hosting of the “G20 Summit (2010)”. Sustainability of economic development began to receive attention around 2010, fostering active policy research for “Green growth (2009)” that sought to use the reduction of greenhouse gases and related environmental regulations aligned with the Kyoto Protocols as new growth drivers.
Sustainable development was expanded to include not only ecofriendly concepts but also the wider sustainability of an entire economic system. Agendas for shared growth such as “Ecosystemic development (2012)” have expanded and developed into a new model for economic growth that aims to achieve a sustainable economic ecosystem through the convergence of ICT and science and technology, culminating in the promulgation of the “Creative economy (2013).”
○ North-South Relations Agenda
Figure 7 shows the changes in the North-South relations agenda from 2000 to 2014. The overarching principle of “peace and trust” has defined both the Korean people’s interest in the North-South relations issue as well as the evolution of Korea’s policy agenda. The predominant policy agendas of the early 2000s were the “Engagement policy (2000),” “Northeast Asian cultural community (2004),” “North-South economic cooperation (2006),” and “Humanitarian aid (2009).” A string of provocations by North Korea, however, including the sinking of the Cheonan and the bombardment of Yeonpyeong Island shifted the policy from unilateral aid to a principled approach. As a part of this shift,“State normalization (2010)” was discussed as a policy agenda.
Recently, ideas of a “Peaceful reunification (2011)” have developed into more specific discussion of “Reunification costs (2012)” and the “Reunification dividend (2013),” transitioning into the “Korean Peninsula Trust Process (2013)” that represent more realist policy agendas.
○ Media Keyword Analysis
The section also offers an insight into the general public’s opinions and views on recent issues by analyzing the most frequently used words or phrases in social media and other materials2.
- Emphasis on Quality of Life
The analysis revealed such keywords as wellbeing and leisure to be central when it comes to the issue of Emphasis on Quality of Life. This suggests a growing importance of effective policy response related to wellbeing and leisure in improving the quality of life.
- Low Fertility & Super aging Society
Korea’s aged population reached 7% in 2000, and is expected to rise to over 20% by 2026. A strong interest in keywords related to jobs has been identified in today’s society marked by low fertility and super-aging population trends. These keywords include issues faced by the younger generation including “youth unemployment”and “temporary employment” as well as issues faced by the older generation such as “re-employment” and “employment extension.”
These keywords reflect the impact of jobs on the marriage and childbirth of younger Koreans and economic stability following retirement for older Koreans.
○ Comparison with Global Issues
This section compared the future issues of global concern selected by the World Economic Forum (WEF), Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD), National Intelligence Council (USA) with those selected by the Future Preparatory Committee (see Figure 11).
- Issues of Global Concern
Social Inequality, Job Insecurity, Cybercrime, Energy Shortage & Resource Depletion, Climate Change & Natural Disasters, Nuclear Safety, Geopolitical Conflicts with Neighboring Countries, Food Security, Disaster Risk, Biodiversity Crisis, Global Governance
The common global issues include economic and social issues such as Social Inequality, and Job Insecurity; and environmental and energy issues such as Energy Shortage & Resource Depletion,Climate Change, and Biodiversity Crisis. As the global economic instability continues, countries around the world see Social Inequality and Job Insecurity to be more important in the future.
Energy Shortage & Resource Depletion, Climate Change & Natural Disasters, and Biodiversity Crisis are commonly selected as important environmental and energy issues as they require a globally coordinated response and influence every single country.
Cybercrime and Nuclear Safety have also attracted global attention, as their impacts tend to easily spread across borders to neighboring countries.
- Issues of Great Concern in Korea
Low Fertility & Super-aging Population, Growing Cross-border Environmental Impact, National Security and Unification Issues, Multiculturalism etc.
Issues of great concern in Korea include Low Fertility & Superaging Population, Growing Cross-border Environmental Impacts, National Security & Unification Issues, and Multiculturalism.
Low Fertility & Super-aging Population has emerged as one of the most urgent issues as Korea has one of the lowest birth rates globally and is experiencing a rapidly aging population. In addition,special circumstances on the Korean peninsula such as the inflow of yellow dust and fine dust, public anxiety over being exposed to radioactivity substances after the Fukushima accident and separation of the two Koreas have increased public concerns over the Growing Cross-border Environmental Impacts and National Security & Unification Issues. The inflow of foreign workers and increase in international marriage has promoted the Korean people’s awareness on multicultural families and Multiculturalism itself though the trend emerged a little late in Korea than in western countries.
- Issues of Global Concern, but not of as Much Concern in Korea
Fiscal Crisis, Liquidity Crisis, Large-scale Terrorist Attack, WMD(Weapons of Mass Destruction)
Issues that gained global concern, but that are not of as much concern in Korea were fiscal crisis, liquidity crisis, large-scale terrorist attacks, and weapons of mass destruction (WMD). Issues of large-scale terrorist attacks and WMD are related to global security;however, it did not gain much attention from Korean citizens since they do not have a direct impact on Korea. Furthermore, it also shows the low possibility of global financial issues such as the fiscal crisis and liquidity crisis erupting in Korea.
- Global Comparison in terms of Likelihood and Impact
Furthermore, the difference in people’s perception toward the likelihood and impact of the issues that are present both in the Global Risks report and this report was also compared by using the results of the perception survey in the Global Risk report in Figure 11. A total of eight issues were subject to comparison, for example,Social Inequality of this report was compared to Income Disparity of Global Risks and Climate Change & Natural Disasters to Failure of Climate Change Adaptation.
Of the eight, the perception gap between Korean and global respondents on the impact and likelihood of such issues as Climate Change and Natural Disasters, Food Security, and Biodiversity Crisis was narrow. On the other hand, the perceived impact of such issues as Social Inequality, Job Insecurity, and Cybercrime was significantly higher among Korean respondents.
The fact that the risk of Social Inequality was perceived to be of greater impact than others shows that Korean respondents are relatively more sensitive to inequality issues such as the widening wage gap. The wide perception gap on Job Insecurity shows that the members of Korean society are more sensitive to this issue.
The greater perceived impact and likelihood of the Cybercrime issue among Korean respondents can be partially attributed to the highly developed ICT infrastructure of the country. Many ICTrelated industries are benefiting from such good infrastructure, but at the same time, reports of adverse effects are increasing as well.
The lack of natural resources can be cited as the reason behind the concern over the Energy Shortage and Resource Depletion issue. The likelihood of Geopolitical Conflicts with Neighboring Countries was perceived to be lower among Koreans despite the ongoing confrontation with North Korea and the possibility of conflicts occurring among some northeastern Asian countries.
It appears that Koreans perceive the likelihood of geopolitical conflicts occurring in its region to be lower since many have never felt the direct impact of such potential conflicts when compared to other frequently occurring regional disputes and conflicts.
○ Issues Suggested by the Future Preparatory Committee
This chapter introduces additional future issues identified and selected by the Future Preparatory Committee. The Committee categorizes the issues into three areas (social and cultural changes, industrial and economic changes, and changes in life and environment) and offers its views and suggestions on each issue.
○ Future Plans
Based on this report, the Committee will select the two most interconnected issues and draw up a future strategy for addressing such issues. The strategy will explore comprehensive measures, using science, technology, and ICT.
( 출처 : 요약본-영문판 226p )
목차 Contents
- 표지 ... 1
- 발간사 ... 3
- 머리말 ... 7
- 목차 ... 11
- 그림목차 ... 13
- 표목차 ... 14
- 제1장 생산과 소비의혁명이란? ... 16
- 01절 4차 산업혁명 시대 생산과 소비의 융합 ... 18
- 02절 생산과 소비의 혁명 의미와 미래전략의 필요성 ... 24
- 03절 주요국의 대응 현황 ... 34
- 제2장 생산과 소비의 변화 전망 ... 40
- 01절 생산과 소비 혁명의 동인 ... 44
- 02절 생산과 소비 혁명의 주요 트렌드 ... 62
- 03절 미래 생산과 소비의 혁신 사례 ... 80
- 제3장 생산·소비 변화의 흐름 속에서 우리의 위치 ... 88
- 01절 우리의 현주소 ... 90
- 02절 주요 산업 분야별 전망과 현황 ... 106
- 제4장 생산과 소비의 혁명 시대를 주도하는 미래전략 ... 128
- 01절 미래형 비즈니스 모델의 구축 ... 132
- 02절 생산·소비 영역의 혁신 창출 역량 제고 ... 150
- 03절 제도와 인프라의 마련 ... 164
- 04절 새로운 문화와 윤리의 확립 ... 180
- 맺음말 ... 194
- 참고문헌 ... 200
- 부록 ... 210
- 요약본-한글판 ... 210
- 요약본-영문판 ... 224
- 끝페이지 ... 253
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