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NTIS 바로가기대기 = Atmosphere, v.30 no.2, 2020년, pp.195 - 207
강미선 (국립기상과학원 현업운영개발부) , 벨로리드 밀로슬라브 (국립기상과학원 융합기술연구부) , 김규랑 (국립기상과학원 재해기상연구부)
This study aims to introduce the structure of the impact-based heat health warning system on 165 counties in South Korea developed by the National Institute of Meteorological Sciences. This system was developed using the daily maximum perceived temperature (PTmax), which is a human physiology-based ...
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핵심어 | 질문 | 논문에서 추출한 답변 |
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PT란 무엇인가? | PT는 인체 열수지 모델인 Klima-Michel-Model(KMM)을 기반으로 하는 폭염지수로 인체 열평형을 고려하여 인체가 실제로 느끼는 표준환경의 온도로 정의한다(Jendritzky et al., 2000; Staiger et al. | |
현재 폭염지수로 가장 많이 사용하고 있는 인자는 무엇인가? | ). 현재 대부분 나라에서는 폭염경보시스템의 폭염지수로 일 최고 기온을 가장 많이 사용하고 있는 실정이다(McGregor et al., 2015; Hwang etal. | |
국지앙상블예측시스템이 폭염-영향 예보에 이용하기 적절한 이유는 무엇인가? | LENS의 예측시간은 72시간으로 선행시간 1일(firstlead day, LD1), 선행시간 2일(second lead day, LD2),선행시간 3일(third lead day, LD3)의 총 3일의 선행시간(lead day)을 확보 할 수 있다. 또한 각각의 앙상블 멤버는 똑같은 확률가능성을 지니기 때문에 확률예보의 정량적 기준을 제공하므로 폭염-영향 예보에 이용하기 적절하다. 그러나 국립기상과학원에서 기상청 종관기상관측장비(Automated Synoptic Observing System, ASOS) 21개 지점에 대하여 2018년 여름철(5~9월)을 대상으로 LENS 폭염 예측성능을 평가한 결과, LENS 기반으로 계산된 일 최고 PT (LENSPTmax)가 전반적으로 과소모의 되는 것을 확인하였다(NIMS, 2018). |
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