[논문]종합건설사 실행예산 편성 시 리스크 비용 산정에 관한 인식 및 실태에 관한 연구 - 건축공사를 중심으로 -

최정원; 김한수

doi:10.6106/kjcem.2022.23.3.013

종합건설사 실행예산 편성 시 리스크 비용 산정에 관한 인식 및 실태에 관한 연구 - 건축공사를 중심으로 -
A Study on the Perceptions and Current Practices in Estimating Risk Cost of Contractor's Construction Budget - Focused on Building Projects - 원문보기

한국건설관리학회논문집 = Korean journal of construction engineering and management, v.23 no.3, 2022년, pp.13 - 24

초록
AI-Helper

건설공사는 다양한 리스크에 노출되어 있으며, 건설공사의 리스크는 더욱 증가하는 경향을 보이고 있다. 건설공사의 리스크 증가는 건설사의 리스크 예측 및 대응의 중요성을 더욱 증가시키고 있다. 건설사가 건설공사의 리스크를 대응하는 방법 중 하나는 리스크 비용을 사전에 예측 또는 산정하여 이를 실행예산에 반영하는 것이다. 리스크 비용과 관련하여 다양한 연구들이 수행되어 왔지만, 국내 건설사의 실행예산 편성 시 리스크 비용 산정에 관한 인식과 실태에 관한 분석은 미흡한 것으로 나타났다. 본 연구의 목적은 종합건설사의 실행예산 편성 시 리스크 비용 산정과 관련된 인식과 실태를 조사·분석하여 주요 특징 및 시사점을 도출하는데 있다. 본 연구의 주요 결과를 요약하면 실행예산 편성 시 리스크 비용 반영의 중요성에 대한 인식은 상당히 높았으나, 상대적으로 리스크 비용을 산정하는 수준은 상대적으로 미흡한 것으로 나타났다. 리스크 비용 산정을 효과적으로 수행하기 위해서는 실적 데이터, 가이드라인, 전사적 표준절차 등 실무기반이 구축되어야 하며, 충분한 견적기간도 할애될 필요가 있었다. 또한 리스크 비용 산정을 위해 빅데이터 분석기법을 포함한 정교한 분석기법의 활용에 대한 관심은 높지만 현재 준비 및 활용 수준은 낮은 것으로 나타나 이에 대한 실무 적용성을 높이기 위한 연구개발이 필요하다고 할 수 있다.

Abstract ▼ AI-Helper

Construction projects are exposed to various types of risks, which tend to increase. The increasing risks call for contractors' more attentions to forecasting and dealing with these risks. One of the measures to deal with contractors' risks is to forecast or estimate risk cost and include it in the construction budget. Although various researches in relation to risk cost have been observed, little attention has been paid to general contractors' perceptions and current practices in estimating risk cost of construction budget. The objective of the study is to identify and discuss key characteristics and implications based on the survey and analysis of general contractors' perceptions and current practices in estimating risk cost of construction budget. The study shows that there is a gap between the perception and the practice of estimating risk cost, that is, high perception of the importance of risk cost and a relatively low level of practice. It suggests that historical cost data, guidelines and corporate-level standard procedures are required to improve the current practice in addition to sufficient time allocations for risk cost estimating. It discusses that there is a need for using sophisticated estimating techniques including bid data analytics despite a low level of the current adoption, and also proposes that research and development in the field of the sophisticated estimating techniques should be further implemented in order to increase their practicality.

주제어

표/그림 (10)

그림 Fig. 1. Perception toward the importance of risk cost
그림 Fig. 2. Reasons of importance of risk cost
그림 Fig. 3. Calculation of the risk cost
그림 Fig. 4. Background and environment for calculating risk cost
그림 Fig. 5. Reasons for not calculating risk cost
그림 Fig. 6. Data used to calculate risk cost
그림 Fig. 7. Level of risk analysis
그림 Fig. 8. Necessity of using prediction technique
그림 Fig. 9. Risk analysis technique in use
그림 Fig. 10. Big data utilization to calculate risk cost

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