[논문]포스트 코로나 시대 선사들의 부산항 선택요인 변화분석

심민섭; 김주혜; 김율성; 남형식

doi:10.5394/kinpr.2022.46.3.216

포스트 코로나 시대 선사들의 부산항 선택요인 변화분석
A Study on the Busan Port Selection Factor Changes of Shipping Companies in the Post-Corona Era 원문보기

한국항해항만학회지 = Journal of navigation and port research, v.46 no.3, 2022년, pp.216 - 226

심민섭 (한국해양대학교 KMI-KMOU) , 김주혜 (한국해양대학교 물류시스템학과) , 김율성 (한국해양대학교 물류시스템공학과) , 남형식 (한국해양대학교 물류시스템공학과)

초록
AI-Helper

세계 주요 글로벌 해운·항만의 산업 트랜드는 COVID-19 바이러스 확산, 글로벌 기업들의 GVC 재편, IMO의 환경규제 강화 등으로 인해 급속도로 변화하고 있다. 이러한 환경변화 속에서 부산항은 2013년 글로벌 컨테이너 항만순위 5위였으나 2014년 닝보-저우산에 밀려 세계 6위로 떨어졌다. 그리고 COVID-19 바이러스가 발생한 이후 2020년 부산항의 글로벌 컨테이너 항만순위는 Qingdao항에 밀려 7위로 떨어졌다. 포스트 코로나 시대 부산항이 글로벌 컨테이너 항만들과 경쟁하여 항만 경쟁우위를 점하기 위해서는 부산항의 경쟁력 요인을 정확하게 파악하고 종합적인 정책을 수립할 필요가 있다. 이에 본 연구는 2005년에 진행된 1차 연구와 비교하여 현재 글로벌 선사들이 항만을 선택하는데 있어 부산항의 경쟁력 요인이 어떻게 변화하였는지 분석하고자 하였다. 또한, 향후 기항빈도와 성장가능성에 영향을 주는 요인을 단계적 다중회귀분석으로 파악하여 종합적인 정책방안을 수립하였다. 분석결과 포스트 코로나 시대 부산항의 기항선호도와 성장가능성에 가장 큰 영향을 주는 요인은 '항만시설'로 나타났으며, 향후 기항빈도는 '지정학적 위치' 요인에 가장 큰 영향을 받는 것으로 나타났다.

Abstract ▼ AI-Helper

The industry trends of major global shipping and ports in the world are changing rapidly because of the spread of COVID-19, resulting in the reorganization of GVCs by global companies, and strengthening of environmental regulations by IMO. Based on these environmental changes, Busan Port was ranked 5th in the global container port rankings in 2013. However, since the outbreak of COVID-19, Busan Port's global container port ranking in 2020 fell to 7th, behind Qingdao Port. In the post-Corona era, for Busan Port to compete with global container ports and gain a competitive edge in the port, it is necessary to accurately identify the competitive factors of Busan Port and establish a comprehensive policy. Thus, the purpose of this study was to analyze how the competitive factors of Busan Port have changed in the selection of ports by current global shipping companies, compared to the first study conducted in 2005. Additionally, a comprehensive policy plan was established by identifying factors impacting the frequency of future calls as well as the growth potential of Busan Port, through a stepwise multiple regression analysis. As a result of the analysis, it was found that the call preference and growth potential of Busan Port in the post-Corona era are most affected by 'port facilities'. And it was found that the calls frequency in the future is most impacted by 'the geopolitical location' factor.

주제어

표/그림 (10)

표 Table 1 Global container ports ranking in 2020
표 Table 2 Definition of Port competitiveness Factors
표 Table 3 The results of survey
표 Table 4 Characteristics of survey respondents
표 Table 5 Port competitiveness Factors and Dependent variable
표 Table 6 Multiple regression analysis results of Busan port call preference
그림 Fig. 1 Global Schedule Reliability Source: Sea-Intelligence Maritime Analysis
그림 Fig. 2 Global Average Delays for Late Vessel Arrives Source: Sea-Intelligence Maritime Analysis
표 Table 7 Multiple regression analysis results of Busan port calls frequency in the future
표 Table 8 Multiple regression analysis results of Busan port growth potential

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