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Abstract ▼ AI-Helper

A year has been passed since North Korea and five other states agreed to denuclearize the Pyongyang"s nuclear program in Beijing on February 13, 2007. Despite its commitment to the full and complete denuclearization, North Korea finally failed to declare everything it developed by the end of 2007. M...

A year has been passed since North Korea and five other states agreed to denuclearize the Pyongyang"s nuclear program in Beijing on February 13, 2007. Despite its commitment to the full and complete denuclearization, North Korea finally failed to declare everything it developed by the end of 2007. More serious problem will be the possibility that Pyongyang would never satisfy the United States and other members by playing for time. President Bush sent his message to Kim Jong-il to call for a full declaration last December but North Korea has maintained that it has nothing to declare on UEP. After the landsliding victory on the presidential election, president-elect Lee Myung-Bak is now presenting a new North Korean policy that is contained in the so-called "Vision 3,000: denuclearization and Openness Initiative." The main concept is that if North Korea abandons its nuclear program, and opens its economy, South Korea is prepared to help raise North Korea"s current per capita income of between $450-900 to $3,000 within a decade. The North Korean policy of the new government is based on the concept of a "rigorous and flexible" approach but its key condition lies in the complete and verifiable denuclearization of North Korea. Yet, it is too early to forecast whether North Korea would accept this vision. The United States has to choose the new president in 2008. We are very much interested in observing whether North Korean issue affects the process of election. It would also be interesting to see how the major candidates respond if North Korea keeps avoiding their commitment by maintaining ambiguity on nuclear status. This study brings with four different scenarios on how the U.S. would respond and concludes with eight-point suggestions that the new administration in South Korea must focus on.

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