[논문]Paradigm Shifts on Flood Risk Management in Japan: Detecting Triggers of Design Flood Revisions in the Modern Era

Nakamura, Shinichiro; Oki, Taikan

doi:10.1029/2017wr022509

[해외논문] Paradigm Shifts on Flood Risk Management in Japan: Detecting Triggers of Design Flood Revisions in the Modern Era 원문보기

Water resources research, v.54 no.8, 2018년, pp.5504 - 5515

Nakamura, Shinichiro (Department of Civil Engineering Nagoya University Nagoya Japan) , Oki, Taikan (Integrated Research System for Sustainability Science The University of Tokyo Tokyo Japan)

Abstract ▼ AI-Helper

AbstractFlood risk management (FRM) has repeatedly evolved through paradigm shifts in human history. In modern FRM, a design flood, which reflects the protection standard or safety level of the FRM, is one of the most important elements. It has been historically revised and increased to reflect the sociohydrological situation of each era. Through this study we aimed to identify these changes to FRM and their reasons (after the advent of the modern society in Japan), focusing on the design flood revision triggers in 109 river basins. We extracted all these triggers through critical reviews of governmental reports (and other historical resources), then tried to identify and divide this time period into a few eras, based on these shifts. In addition, we performed a quantitative trend analysis of several sociohydrological variables that contributed to (or refracted) the shifts and conducted a qualitative analysis of their sociohydrological backgrounds. The revision triggers could be classified into five categories: “national policy change,” “mega flood,” “dam construction,” “economic growth,” and “others.” From the transition of triggers, the Japanese modern history of FRM was divided into three eras: “Era 1: 1910-1935, changing society,” “Era 2: 1935-1970, response to mega floods,” and “Era 3: 1970-2010, response to economic growth.” The paradigms shifted in each era due to variations in both socio‐hydrological events and backgrounds. The results showed that the Japanese FRM paradigm has shifted from “green society” to “technological society,” with respect to human‐technology‐flood evolution.Key PointsWe extracted all design flood revision triggers in 109 basins in the Japanese modern era through critical reviews of governmental reportsThe revision triggers can be categorized into five types: policy change, mega floods, dam construction, economic growth, and othersThe flood risk management paradigm can be divided into three eras: changing society, response to mega floods, and response to economic growth

참고문헌 (55)

History of hydrology Biswas A. K. 1970
Blair, P., Buytaert, W.. Socio-hydrological modelling: a review asking "why, what and how?". Hydrology and earth system sciences, vol.20, no.1, 443-478.

상세보기
Cabinet Office Government of Japan.National economic accounting(2017).http://www5.cao.go.jp/j‐j/wp/wp‐je12/h10_data01.html. Last access October 22 2017 (in Japanese).
Chin, Anne. Urban transformation of river landscapes in a global context. Geomorphology, vol.79, no.3, 460-487.

상세보기
10.1080/02626667.2016.1273527
10.1515/9781400880966
Polity Crossley P. K. 2008 What is global history?
CTI Engineering International Co. Ltd. Consulting Engineers (CTI)(2013).The detailed design of Pasig‐Marikina River channel improvement project (phase III): Final report volume‐1 summary Department of public works and highways republic of the Philippines and Japan international cooperation agency.
Di Baldassarre, G., Viglione, A., Carr, G., Kuil, L., Salinas, J. L., Blöschl, G.. Socio-hydrology: conceptualising human-flood interactions. Hydrology and earth system sciences, vol.17, no.8, 3295-3303.

상세보기
Di Baldassarre, Giuliano, Viglione, Alberto, Carr, Gemma, Kuil, Linda, Yan, Kun, Brandimarte, Luigia, Blöschl, Günter. Debates-Perspectives on socio‐hydrology: Capturing feedbacks between physical and social processes. Water resources research, vol.51, no.6, 4770-4781.

상세보기
Japan's modern myths Gluck C. 1987
Haasnoot, M., Kwakkel, J.H., Walker, W.E., ter Maat, J.. Dynamic adaptive policy pathways: A method for crafting robust decisions for a deeply uncertain world. Global environmental change : human and policy dimensions, vol.23, no.2, 485-498.

상세보기
Haasnoot, M., Middelkoop, H.. A history of futures: A review of scenario use in water policy studies in the Netherlands. Environmental science & policy, vol.19, 108-120.

상세보기
Water Science Inada Y. 75 4 3 1960 Development of river planning: About design flood
Japan Meteorological Agency(2017).Deviation of annual precipitation in Japan.http://www.data.jma.go.jp/cpdinfo/temp/list/an_jpn_r.html. Last access October 22 2017 (in Japanese).
Japan Water Forum and the World Bank(2005).A study on water infrastructure investment and its contribution to socioeconomic development in modern Japan final report.
KanazawaH. Yoshitani J. &Shintaku S.(2009).The Japanese Ministry of Land Infrastructure Transport and Tourism technical criteria for river works: Practical guide for planning. Technical Note of NILIM No.519 and PWRI No.4132.
Kandasamy, J., Sounthararajah, D., Sivabalan, P., Chanan, A., Vigneswaran, S., Sivapalan, M.. Socio-hydrologic drivers of the pendulum swing between agricultural development and environmental health: a case study from Murrumbidgee River basin, Australia. Hydrology and earth system sciences, vol.18, no.3, 1027-1041.

상세보기
Kiso River Lower Reaches Works Office Chubu Regional Development Bureau Ministry of Constructioned. (1987).De Rijke and his accomplishments. Kiso River Lower Reaches Works Office Chubu Regional Development Bureau Ministry of Construction. (in Japanese)
Komori, Daisuke, Nakamura, Shinichirou, Kiguchi, Masashi, Nishijima, Asako, Yamazaki, Dai, Suzuki, Satoshi, Kawasaki, Akiyuki, Oki, Kazuo, Oki, Taikan. Characteristics of the 2011 Chao Phraya River flood in Central Thailand. Hydrological Research Letters, vol.6, 41-46.

상세보기
Kosaka T.(1995).Study for theoretical planning related modern flood control in Tone River. Doctoral thesis The University of Tokyo. (in Japanese)
The structure of scientific revolutions Kuhn T. 1962
19th Conference of Japan Society of Hydrology and Water Resources Kuraji K. 42 19 2006 Relationship between design floods and historical maximum floods in I class river basin
10.4324/9780203500637
Japan Society of Civil Engineering Matsuura S. 147 6 1986 The history of making long term flood control program and the transition of its basic concept. Papers of the research meeting on the civil engineering history in Japan
Ministry of Construction(1958).Technical criteria for river works. Japan river association.
Ministry of Land Infrastructure Transport and Tourism (MLIT)(2006).The fundamental river management policy of the tone river basin. Retrieved fromhttp://www.mlit.go.jp/river/basic_info/jigyo_keikaku/gaiyou/seibi/pdf/tone-2.pdf%20(in Japanese)
Ministry of Land Infrastructure Transport and Tourism (MLIT)(2017).The fundamental river management policy and the river improvement plan.http://www.mlit.go.jp/river/basic_info/jigyo_keikaku/gaiyou/seibi/index.html. Last access October 22 2017 (in Japanese)
Mississippi River Commission(2008).The Mississippi River & tributaries project: Designing the project flood. Information Paper. Retrieved fromhttp://www.mvd.usace.army.mil/Portals/52/docs/Designing%20the%20Project%20Flood%20info%20paper.pdf
Flood disaster: Knowledge of flood protection and flood fighting Miyamura T. 1985
Montz, Burrell E., Tobin, Graham A.. Livin’ Large with Levees: Lessons Learned and Lost. Natural hazards review, vol.9, no.3, 150-157.

상세보기
Nakamura S.(2017).Installation of probability and design flood. How have SAFETY STANDARDS been constructed?(pp.107-121).Tokyo JP:University of Tokyo Press. (in Japanese)
National Institute of Population and Social Security Research(2017).Total population and growth of population.http://www.ipss.go.jp/syoushika/tohkei/Popular/Popular2016.asp?chap=1last access October 22 2017 (in Japanese)
History of long term flood prevention plan Nishikawa T. 1969
Historical change of flood control of the TONE River and flood disasters Ohkuma T. 1981
Pande, Saket, Sivapalan, Murugesu. Progress in socio‐hydrology: a meta‐analysis of challenges and opportunities. WIREs. Water, vol.4, no.4, e1193-.

상세보기
Pathiraja, S., Westra, S., Sharma, A.. Why continuous simulation? The role of antecedent moisture in design flood estimation. Water resources research, vol.48, no.6, 2011WR010997-.

상세보기
Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e‐Stat)(2017).Transition of damage cost from flood disasters after Meiji Era.http://www.e‐stat.go.jp/SG1/estat/GL08020103.do?_toGL08020103_&listID=000001132378&requestSender=search. Last access October 22 2017 (in Japanese).
The stages of economic growth: A non‐communist manifesto Rostow W. W. 1960
Water and Sewerage Journal Sayers P. 2013 Flood risk management: A strategic approach
Science Council of Japan(2011).Academic evaluation related validation for river‐runoff model and design flood. Retrieved fromhttp://www.scj.go.jp/ja/info/kohyo/pdf/kohyo‐21‐k133‐1‐1.pdf(in Japanese)
Scussolini, Paolo, Aerts, Jeroen C. J. H., Jongman, Brenden, Bouwer, Laurens M., Winsemius, Hessel C., de Moel, Hans, Ward, Philip J.. FLOPROS: an evolving global database of flood protection standards. Natural hazards and earth system sciences, vol.16, no.5, 1049-1061.

상세보기
De Rijke Research Shimazaki T. 40 153 11 2000 What did the Dutch river technologies achieve in Japan?
Sivapalan, Murugesu, Savenije, Hubert H. G., Blöschl, Günter. Socio‐hydrology: A new science of people and water. Hydrological processes, vol.26, no.8, 1270-1276.

상세보기
The change of country and flood Takahasi Y. 1971
River engineering Takahasi Y. 1990
Takei A.(1961).Study of relationship between technology and institution in flood risk management Japan. Doctoral thesis Kyoto University. (in Japanese)
Vrijling, J.K.. Probabilistic design of water defense systems in The Netherlands. Reliability engineering & system safety, vol.74, no.3, 337-344.

상세보기
Nature Climate Change Ward P. J. 1 2017 A global framework for future costs and benefits of river‐flood protection in urban areas
Wesselink, Anna. Trends in flood risk management in deltas around the world: Are we going ‘soft’?. International journal of water governance, vol.4, 25-46.

상세보기
Wesselink, A.J.. Flood safety in the Netherlands: The Dutch response to Hurricane Katrina. Technology in society, vol.29, no.2, 239-247.

상세보기
White G. F.(1945).Human adjustment to floods. Doctoral Thesis The University of Chicago http://agris.fao.org/agris‐search/search.do?recordID=US201300257437(last access: October 20 2017)
Wisdom of Water (SUNTORY)(2012).The atlas of water for Japan(chap. 3).Tokyo JP:Asahi Shimbun Publishing. (in Japanese)
Yamamoto K.(1999).Engineering history of river channel planning.Tokyo JP:Sankaido. (in Japanese)
Zlinszky, A., Timár, G.. Historic maps as a data source for socio-hydrology: a case study of the Lake Balaton wetland system, Hungary. Hydrology and earth system sciences, vol.17, no.11, 4589-4606.

상세보기

표제어: PCR

동의어: Packet Collision Rate

용어 설명 출처 목록 (6)

용어 설명: PCR은 세균 특이성이 있는 primer를 이용하여 적은 수의 세균이 있을지라도 쉽게 검출할 수 있는 유용한 방법이며, 이를 이용하여 구강 내 치면세균막이나 타액에서 직접 세균을 검출할 수 있게 되었다[8].

내보내기 구분	파일저장 인쇄 메일전송
구성항목	기본정보 상세정보 관리번호, 논문명, 저널/프로시딩명, 저자 , 발행년, 권, 호, 시작페이지, 끝페이지, 발행기관 관리번호, 논문명, 대등논문명, 저자 , 저널/프로시딩명, 발행기관, 발행년, 발행언어, 권, 호, 시작페이지, 끝페이지, ISBN, ISSN, 주제분야, 키워드, 초록(한글), 초록(영문), 저자(소속기관)
저장형식	Text(ASCII format) Excel format RefWorks Direct Export RIS format (for Reference Manager, ProCite, EndNote), Scholar's Aids, Mendeley
메일정보	받는사람 (필수) @ 보내는사람 (선택) @ 제목 내용 KISTI 검색결과 이메일 서비스
안내	총 건의 자료가 검색되었습니다. 다운받으실 자료의 인덱스를 입력하세요. (1-10,000) 검색결과의 순서대로 최대 10,000건 까지 다운로드가 가능합니다. 데이타가 많을 경우 속도가 느려질 수 있습니다.(최대 2~3분 소요) 다운로드 파일은 UTF-8 형태로 저장됩니다. 파일의 내용이 제대로 보이지 않을실 때는 웹브라우저 상단의 보기 -> 인코딩 -> 자동선택 여부를 확인하십시오. ~ Text(ASCII format) Excel format

연합인증

[해외논문] Paradigm Shifts on Flood Risk Management in Japan: Detecting Triggers of Design Flood Revisions in the Modern Era 원문보기

Abstract ▼ AI-Helper

참고문헌 (55)

이 논문을 인용한 문헌

관련 콘텐츠

원문 보기

원문 URL 링크

오픈액세스(OA) 유형

이 논문과 함께 이용한 콘텐츠

AI-Helper ※ AI-Helper는 오픈소스 모델을 사용합니다.

선택된 텍스트