[보고서]안정화 시나리오에 따른 전지구 기후 모델링 연구(I)

허창회

보고서 정보

주관연구기관

서울대학교
Seoul National University

연구책임자

허창회

참여연구자

김주홍 , 김진원 , 김현주 , 김형석 , 박두선 , 박상종 , 박창의 , 박훈영 , 오혜련 , 이민희 , 이승민 , 이윤경 , 전상윤 , 조희제 , 최우석

보고서유형

최종보고서

발행국가

대한민국

언어

한국어

발행년월

2011-12

주관부처

환경부

연구관리전문기관

국립환경과학원
National Institute of Environmental Research

등록번호

TRKO201300007597

DB 구축일자

2013-05-20

표 Figure 1.1. Time series of radiative forcing and concentration of carbon dioxide in RCP scenarios
표 Figure 1.2. Approaches to the development of global scenarios: previous sequential approach (left); proposed parallel approach (right).
표 Figure 1.3. Time series of concentration of carbon dioxide in RCP scenarios and SRES scenarios
표 Figure 1.4. Time series of concentration of methan in RCP scenarios and SRES scenarios
표 Figure 1.5. Time series of concentration of nitrous oxide in RCP scenarios and SRES scenarios
표 Figure 1.6. Time series of concentration of CFC-11 gas in RCP scenarios and SRES scenarios
표 Figure 1.7. Time series of concentration of CFC-12 gas in RCP scenarios and SRES scenarios
표 Figure 1.8. Spatial distribution of black carbon concentration in lowest layer
표 Figure 1.9. Spatial distribution of organic carbon concentration in lowest layer
표 Figure 1.10. Spatial distribution of organic carbon concentration in lowest layer
표 Figure 1.11. Spatial distribution of percentile of each plant functional types in the period of 1880 to 1899
표 Figure 1.12. Spatial distribution of percentile of each plant functional types in the period of 1980 to 1999
표 Figure 1.13. Difference of spatial distribution of percentile of each plant functional types from the period of 1980 to 1999 to the period of 1880 to 1899
표 Figure 1.14. Spatial distribution of surface carbon flux by fossil fuel
표 Figure 1.15. Time series of surface temperature averaged over globe in CCSM4_B2000_F19, CCSM4_B2000_F09, and CCSM4_B2000_F05 experiment.
표 Figure 1.16. Spatial pattern of annual mean surface temperature in (a) NCEP Reanalysis, (b) CCSM4_B2000_F05, (c) CCSM4_B2000_F09, and (d) CCSM4_B2000_F19 for the year 2000
표 Figure 1.17. Spatial pattern of annual mean sea level pressure in (a) NCEP Reanalysis, (b) CCSM4_B2000_F05, (c) CCSM4_B2000_F09, and (d) CCSM4_B2000_F19 for the year 2000
표 Figure 1.18. Spatial pattern of annual mean precipitation in (a) CMAP, (b) CCSM4_B2000_F05, (c) CCSM4_B2000_F09, and (d) CCSM4_B2000_F19 for the year 2000
표 Figure 1.19. Spatial pattern of annual mean of 200hPa zonal wind in (a) NCEP Reanalysis, (b) CCSM4_B2000_F05, (c) CCSM4_B2000_F09, and (d) CCSM4_B2000_F19 for the year 2000
표 Figure 1.20. Spatial pattern of annual mean of 850hPa zonal wind in (a) NCEP Reanalysis, (b) CCSM4_B2000_F05, (c) CCSM4_B2000_F09, and (d) CCSM4_B2000_F19 for the year 2000
표 Figure 1.21. Spatial pattern of annual mean of 850hPa meridional wind in (a) NCEP Reanalysis, (b) CCSM4_B2000_F05, (c) CCSM4_B2000_F09, and (d) CCSM4_B2000_F19 for the year 2000
표 Figure 1.22. Spatial pattern of annual mean of 850hPa specific humidity in (a) NCEP Reanalysis, (b) CCSM4_B2000_F05, (c) CCSM4_B2000_F09, and (d) CCSM4_B2000_F19 for the year 2000
표 Figure 1.23. Spatial pattern of annual mean of 500hPa geopotential height in (a) NCEP Reanalysis, (b) CCSM4_B2000_F05, (c) CCSM4_B2000_F09, and (d) CCSM4_B2000_F19 for the year 2000
표 Figure 1.24. Spatial pattern of EOF first mode of sea surface temperature anomaly over tropical Pacific ocean in CCSM3 20C3M
표 Figure 1.25. Spatial pattern of EOF first mode of sea surface temperature anomaly over tropical Pacific ocean in CCSM4_B2000_F05
표 Figure 1.26. Spatial pattern of EOF first mode of sea surface temperature anomaly over tropical Pacific ocean in CCSM4_B2000_F09
표 Figure 1.27. Spatial pattern of EOF first mode of sea surface temperature anomaly over tropical Pacific ocean in CCSM4_B2000_F19
표 Figure 1.28. Geometric relation of pattern correlation R, mean error of square of pattern E′, standard deviation of reference and comparison field ? , ?
표 Figure 1.29. Taylor diagram for annual mean value between observation and CCSM4 B2000 experiments.
표 Figure 1.30. Taylor diagram for winter season mean value between observation and CCSM4 B2000 experiments
표 Figure 1.31. Taylor diagram for summer season mean value between observation and CCSM4 B2000 experiments.
표 Figure 1.32. Taylor diagram for annual ean value between observation and CCSM4 B2000 experiments for the East Asia
표 Figure 1.33. Time series of annual mean surface temperature of NCEP Reanalysis 2, CAM4_FA09_H27, and CAM4_F19_H27 for (a) globe, (b) East Asia, (c) Korea
표 Figure1.34 Latitudinal and temporal changes in zonal mean surface temperature of (a) CAM4_F09_H27, (b) CAM4_F19_H27, and (c) NCEP_Reanalysis
표 Figure 1.35. Spatial pattern of annual mean surface temperature in (a) NCEP Reanalysis, (b) CAM4_F09_H27, and (c) CAM4_F19_H27 for the period of 1979 to 2005
표 Figure 1.36. Spatial pattern of annual mean sea level pressure in (a) NCEP Reanalysis, (b) CAM4_F09_H27, and (c) CAM4_F19_H27 for the period of 1979 to 2005
표 Figure 1.37. Spatial pattern of annual mean precipitation in (a) CMAP, (b) CAM4_F09_H27, and (c) CAM4_F19_H27 for the period of 1979 to 2005
표 Figure 1.38. Spatial pattern of annual mean 200hPa zonal wind in (a) NCEP Reanalysis, (b) CAM4_F09_H27, and (c) CAM4_F19_H27 for the period of 1979 to 2005
표 Figure 1.39. Spatial pattern of annual mean 850hPa zonal wind in (a) NCEP Reanalysis, (b) CAM4_F09_H27, and (c) CAM4_F19_H27 for the period of 1979 to 2005
표 Figure 1.40. Spatial pattern of annual mean 850hPa meridional wind in (a) NCEP Reanalysis, (b) CAM4_F09_H27, and (c) CAM4_F19_H27 for the period of 1979 to 2005
표 Figure 1.41. Spatial pattern of annual mean 850hPa specific humidity in (a) NCEP Reanalysis, (b) CAM4_F09_H27, and (c) CAM4_F19_H27 for the period of 1979 to 2005
표 Figure 1.42. Spatial pattern of annual mean 500hPa geopotential height in (a) NCEP Reanalysis, (b) CAM4_F09_H27, and (c) CAM4_F19_H27 for the period of 1979 to 2005
표 Figure 1. 43. Spatial pattern of winter time (a) Precipitation, (b) 200hPa wind field,(c) 850hPa wind field, and (d) 850hPa specific humidity over the East Asia in CAM4_F09_H27
표 Figure 1. 44. Spatial pattern of winter time (a) Precipitation, (b) 200hPa wind field,(c) 850hPa wind field, and (d) 850hPa specific humidity over the East Asia in CAM4_F19_H27
표 Figure 1. 45. Spatial pattern of winter time (a) Precipitation, (b) 200hPa wind field,(c) 850hPa wind field, and (d) 850hPa specific humidity over the East Asia in observation
표 Figure 1. 46. Spatial pattern of summer time (a) Precipitation, (b) 200hPa wind field,(c) 850hPa wind field, and (d) 850hPa specific humidity over the East Asia in CAM4_F09_H27
표 Figure 1. 47. Spatial pattern of summer time (a) Precipitation, (b) 200hPa wind field,(c) 850hPa wind field, and (d) 850hPa specific humidity over the East Asia in CAM4_F19_H27
표 Figure 1. 48. Spatial pattern of summer time (a) Precipitation, (b) 200hPa wind field,(c) 850hPa wind field, and (d) 850hPa specific humidity over the East Asia in observation
표 Figure 1. 49. (a) Spatial pattern and (b) PC time series of EOF first mode of sea level pressure over the Northern Hemisphere in CAM4_F09_H27
표 Figure 1. 50. (a) Spatial pattern and (b) PC time series of EOF first mode of sea level pressure over the Northern Hemisphere in CAM4_F19_H27
표 Figure 1. 51. (a) Spatial pattern and (b) PC time series of EOF first mode of sea level pressure over the Northern Hemisphere in observation
표 Figure 1.52. Taylor diagram for annual mean value between observation and CAM4_F09_H27 and CAM4_F19_H27 experiment
표 Figure 1.53. Taylor diagram for winter time mean value between observation and CAM4_F09_H27 and CAM4_F19_H27 experiment
표 Figure 1.54. Taylor diagram for summer time mean value between observation and CAM4_F09_H27 and CAM4_F19_H27 experiment
표 Figure 1.55. Taylor diagram for annual mean value between observation and CAM4_F09_H27 and CAM4_F19_H27 experiment for the East Asia
표 Figure 1.56. Spatial pattern of annual mean surface temperature in (a) NCEP Reanalysis, (b) CAM4_F09_H27, (c) CAM4_F19_H27, (d) CCSM4_B2000_F05, (e) CCSM4_B2000_F09, and (f) CCSM4_B2000_F19 for the year 2000
표 Figure 1.57. Spatial pattern of annual mean sea level pressure in (a) NCEP Reanalysis, (b) CAM4_F09_H27, (c) CAM4_F19_H27, (d) CCSM4_B2000_F05, (e) CCSM4_B2000_F09, and (f) CCSM4_B2000_F19 for the year 2000
표 Figure 1.58. Spatial pattern of annual mean precipitation in (a) CMAP, (b) CAM4_F09_H27, (c) CAM4_F19_H27, (d) CCSM4_B2000_F05, (e) CCSM4_B2000_F09, and (f) CCSM4_B2000_F19 for the year 2000
표 Figure 1.59. Spatial pattern of annual mean of 200hPa zonal wind in (a) NCEP Reanalysis, (b) CAM4_F09_H27, (c) CAM4_F19_H27, (d) CCSM4_B2000_F05, (e) CCSM4_B2000_F09, and (f) CCSM4_B2000_F19 for the year 2000
표 Figure 1.60. Spatial pattern of annual mean of 850hPa zonal wind in (a) NCEP Reanalysis, (b) CAM4_F09_H27, (c) CAM4_F19_H27, (d) CCSM4_B2000_F05, (e) CCSM4_B2000_F09, and (f) CCSM4_B2000_F19 for the year 2000
표 Figure 1.61. Spatial pattern of annual mean of 850hPa meridional wind in (a) NCEP Reanalysis, (b) CAM4_F09_H27, (c) CAM4_F19_H27, (d) CCSM4_B2000_F05, (e) CCSM4_B2000_F09, and (f) CCSM4_B2000_F19 for the year 2000
표 Figure 1.62. Spatial pattern of annual mean of 850hPa specific humidity in (a) NCEP Reanalysis, (b) CAM4_F09_H27, (c) CAM4_F19_H27, (d) CCSM4_B2000_F05, (e) CCSM4_B2000_F09, and (f) CCSM4_B2000_F19 for the year 2000
표 Figure 1.63. Spatial pattern of annual mean of 200hPa zonal wind in (a) NCEP Reanalysis, (b) CAM4_F09_H27, (c) CAM4_F19_H27, (d) CCSM4_B2000_F05, (e) CCSM4_B2000_F09, and (f) CCSM4_B2000_F19 for the year 2000
표 Figure 3.1. Time series of annual mean surface temperature in B1850_CN_F19
표 Figure 3.2. Spatial pattern of annual mean surface temperature in B1850_CN_F19 experiment
표 Figure 3.3. Spatial pattern of annual mean precipitation in B1850_CN_F19 experiment
표 Figure 3.4. Spatial pattern of annual mean (a) GPP, (b) SR, (c) NPP, (d) HR, and (e) NEP in B1850_CN_F19 experiment
표 Figure 3.5. Spatial pattern of annual mean (a) BCDEP, and (b) OCDEP in B1850_CN_F19 experiment
표 Figure 3.6. Spatial pattern of annual mean (a) TOTCOLN, and (b) NET_NMIN in B1850_CN_F19 experiment
표 Figure 3.7. Time series of annual mean leaf area index in CN_ad_spinup experiment for 600 years
표 Figure 3.8. Time series of annual mean stem area index in CN_ad_spinup experiment for 600 years
표 Figure 3.9. Time series of annual mean GPP in CN_ad_spinup experiment for 600 years
표 Figure 3.10. Time series of annual mean NPP in CN_ad_spinup experiment for 600 years
표 Figure 3.11. Time series of annual mean NEP in CN_ad_spinup experiment for 600 years
표 Figure 3.12. Time series of monthly leaf area index in CN_final_spinup experiment for 50 years
표 Figure 3.13. Spatial pattern of last 20-year mean leaf area index in CN_final_spinup experiment
표 Figure 3.14. Time series of monthly NPP in CN_final_spinup experiment for 50 years
표 Figure 3.15. Spatial pattern of last 20-year mean NPP in CN_final_spinup experiment
표 Figure 3.16. Time series of annual mean leaf area index in CNDV_spinup experiment for 300 years
$Figure 3.17. Time series of annual mean fraction of each vegetation types in CNDV_spinup experiment for 300 years.$ 표 Figure 3.17. Time series of annual mean fraction of each vegetation types in CNDV_spinup experiment for 300 years.
표 Figure 3.18. Time series of anomalies of annual mean surface temperature (solid) and leaf area index (dashed) in CLM4_CTRL experiment for the peroid of 1948 to 2004
표 Figure 3.19. Time series of anomalies of annual mean ground evaporation (solid), canopy evaporation (dashed), and canopy transpiration (dash-dotted) in CLM4_CTRL experiment for the peroid of 1948 to 2004
표 Figure 3.20. Time series of annual mean surface temperature (solid) and leaf area index (dashed) in CLM4_CN experiment for the peroid of 1948 to 2004
표 Figure 3.21. Time series of anomalies of annual mean leaf area index in CLM4_CTRL (black solid) and CLM4_CN (green solid) experiment for the peroid of 1948 to 2004
표 Figure 3.22. Spatial pattern of annual mean leaf area index for the period of (a) 1985 to 2004 and (b) 1948 to 1967, and (c) differences in two periods (1985-2004 minus 1948-1967)
표 Figure 3.23. Time series of annual mean leaf area index (green solid) and (a) ground evaporation, (b) canopy evaporation, and (c) canopy transpiration (black solid) in CLM4_CN experiment for the peroid of 1948 to 2004
표 Figure 3.24. Spatial pattern of annual mean total evaporation for the period of (a) 1985 to 2004 and (b) 1948 to 1967, and (c) differences in two periods (1985-2004 minus 1948-1967)
표 Figure 3.25. Time series of annual mean leaf area index (black solid) and NPP (black dashed) in CLM4_CN experiment for the peroid of 1948 to 2004
표 Figure 3.26. Spatial pattern of annual mean NPP for the period of (a) 1985 to 2004 and (b) 1948 to 1967, and (c) differences in two periods (1985-2004 minus 1948-1967)
표 Figure 3.27. Time series of annual mean leaf area index (black solid) and soil mineral nitrogen (black dashed) in CLM4_CN experiment for the peroid of 1948 to 2004
표 Figure 3.28. Spatial pattern of annual mean of soil mineral nitrogen for the period of (a) 1985 to 2004 and (b) 1948 to 1967, and (c) differences in two periods (1985-2004 minus 1948-1967)
$Figure 3.29. Time series of monthly fraction of each vegetation types inCLM4_CNDV experiment for the peroid of 1948 to 2004$ 표 Figure 3.29. Time series of monthly fraction of each vegetation types inCLM4_CNDV experiment for the peroid of 1948 to 2004

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