$\require{mediawiki-texvc}$

연합인증

연합인증 가입 기관의 연구자들은 소속기관의 인증정보(ID와 암호)를 이용해 다른 대학, 연구기관, 서비스 공급자의 다양한 온라인 자원과 연구 데이터를 이용할 수 있습니다.

이는 여행자가 자국에서 발행 받은 여권으로 세계 각국을 자유롭게 여행할 수 있는 것과 같습니다.

연합인증으로 이용이 가능한 서비스는 NTIS, DataON, Edison, Kafe, Webinar 등이 있습니다.

한번의 인증절차만으로 연합인증 가입 서비스에 추가 로그인 없이 이용이 가능합니다.

다만, 연합인증을 위해서는 최초 1회만 인증 절차가 필요합니다. (회원이 아닐 경우 회원 가입이 필요합니다.)

연합인증 절차는 다음과 같습니다.

최초이용시에는
ScienceON에 로그인 → 연합인증 서비스 접속 → 로그인 (본인 확인 또는 회원가입) → 서비스 이용

그 이후에는
ScienceON 로그인 → 연합인증 서비스 접속 → 서비스 이용

연합인증을 활용하시면 KISTI가 제공하는 다양한 서비스를 편리하게 이용하실 수 있습니다.

Development of a Probabilistic Safety Assessment Framework for an Interim Dry Storage Facility Subjected to an Aircraft Crash Using Best-Estimate Structural Analysis 원문보기

Nuclear engineering and technology : an international journal of the Korean Nuclear Society, v.49 no.2, 2017년, pp.411 - 425  

Almomani, Belal (Department of Nuclear and Quantum Engineering, Korea Advanced Institute of Science and Technology) ,  Jang, Dongchan (Department of Nuclear and Quantum Engineering, Korea Advanced Institute of Science and Technology) ,  Lee, Sanghoon (Department of Mechanical and Automotive Engineering, Keimyung University) ,  Kang, Hyun Gook (Department of Mechanical, Aerospace and Nuclear Engineering, Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute)

Abstract AI-Helper 아이콘AI-Helper

Using a probabilistic safety assessment, a risk evaluation framework for an aircraft crash into an interim spent fuel storage facility is presented. Damage evaluation of a detailed generic cask model in a simplified building structure under an aircraft impact is discussed through a numerical structu...

주제어

AI 본문요약
AI-Helper 아이콘 AI-Helper

* AI 자동 식별 결과로 적합하지 않은 문장이 있을 수 있으니, 이용에 유의하시기 바랍니다.

제안 방법

  • As a best deterministic estimation, with a bias toward conservatism, as suggested in the NEI (Nuclear Energy Institute, U.S.) report [16], the empirical formulas employed in this study can predict the minimum RC wall thickness required to prevent local damage caused by the normal impact of an aircraft engine and its residual velocity. Impact speeds and compressive strengths of concrete are treated probabilistically as major sources of uncertainty.
  • However, no risk assessment with a scenario of a realistic aircraft crash into an ISF has yet been completed. Development of a comprehensive and systematic framework that comprises several elements of risk evaluation would make it possible to determine the feasibility of using such a framework to predict the expected hazard posed to the public, in addition to enhancing the reliability of facility/cask designs under possible severe impact loadings from aircraft crash. Further, this approach will enable the development of a so-called risk-informed regulatory framework, which is more reasonable than conventional approaches that rely more on conservatism.
  • Subsequently, the radiological consequences for a hypothetical site were calculated, and individual risks for each possible sequence were obtained through a quantitative event tree analysis. From the probability analysis, which takes into account parameter uncertainties with assumptions for three different facility capacities, the conclusion is that an AI on a single fully loaded storage cask is not expected to cause a radiological impact that exceeds regulatory limits under the worst-case scenario for the three sets of design structures studied here. To achieve the final goal of complete risk assessment, as detailed in the Introduction, a fire scenario and a secondary mechanical impact scenario on multiple casks can be added to the proposed framework in order to evaluate accurately the overall associated radiological consequences to the public and the environment following an aircraft crash.
  • The wind speed reference height is 80 m and the release height is ground level. Hourly information from 1-year meteorological data, including wind speeds and directions, was utilized for a hypothetical site to determine the wind speed frequency groups in the scenario. In this study, three boundaries of interest surrounding the accident location are considered: an exclusion area boundary at 560 m, a low-population zone at 5.
  • Since it is difficult to justify the impact orientations, it is assumed that the impact angle is equally distributed between 0° and 90° on the cask body; this is done in order to provide a comprehensive and systematic evaluation of all the impact cases without the need for an exact clue of the possibility of occurrence.
  • Table 1 provides the model specifications that are employed in the analysis. Specifications of concrete strength class, wall thickness, elastic recovery of seal, and U-235 burnup rate are separated into three sets and analyzed accordingly. These parameters are regarded as safety relevant components, categorized in respect to increasing or decreasing potential risk.
  • In addition, a best-estimate structural analysis, including fuel assembly damage, has been incorporated using practical FE modeling techniques to simulate accurately and efficiently the structural response under energetic loading. Subsequently, the radiological consequences for a hypothetical site were calculated, and individual risks for each possible sequence were obtained through a quantitative event tree analysis. From the probability analysis, which takes into account parameter uncertainties with assumptions for three different facility capacities, the conclusion is that an AI on a single fully loaded storage cask is not expected to cause a radiological impact that exceeds regulatory limits under the worst-case scenario for the three sets of design structures studied here.
  • The aim of the present article has been to confirm the flexibility of the proposed framework, which was developed in the authors' previous research via an examination of three combinations of design structures of facility and cask for a hypothetical reference facility that presents integrated damage sequences from an aircraft crash scenario.
  • The structural response analysis of this study is divided into three parts. The first part is a fragility analysis of the facility wall based on an empirical model, followed by a structural response analysis of the cask lid closure, with the last part investigating the fuel rod failure under a mechanical impact load. Detailed methodologies and information related to the fragility analysis of the facility wall and the lid gap analysis are not covered in this paper, as details of these analyses can be found in the authors' previous work [12,15].
  • The impact analysis studied five impact orientations: lateral impacts on the lower (Case 1), center (Case 2), and upper parts of the cask (Case 3); an impact on an upper corner (Case 4); and a vertical impact on the lid closure (Case 5). The impact loading as a function of time is tabulated, evenly distributed, and perpendicularly directed to the nodes at the impact area.
  • The other basket cells, which include 20 fuel assemblies, are filled with solid dummy bodies to correct the package weight. The purpose of this model is to analyze the dynamic response of the fuel assembly and estimate the fraction of rods that fail during the impact as an essential parameter of the radiological consequences. All the materials are modeled as isotropic elastic-plastic with hardening; material properties are listed in Table 4.
  • 7; this model consists of a carbon steel cask body with one bolted upper lid closure without impact limiters, and a solid inner dummy weight representing the interior structure and spent fuel assemblies. The purpose of this model was to analyze the dynamic response of the lid closure system in order to calculate the leakage path area between the lid and the flange, since the lid seal plays an essential role in preventing the escape of fine particulates and radioactive gases from the cask. Therefore, unnecessary details of the cask system, such as the interior structures, were not modeled.
  • 2, which addresses the structural response and radiological consequence analyses with inputs and outputs. The results of this study are intended to act as a basis of discussion and to provide comparisons between the three sets of specification levels.
  • 25 mm [14]. Thus, this study defines the elastic recovery distances for the low- (L), median- (M), and high-performance (H) seals as 0.03 mm, 0.15 mm, and 0.25 mm, respectively. Three burnup rates are also considered in the consequences analysis, as follows: a low burnup rate at 25 GWd/MTU, an intermediate burnup rate at 45 GWd/MTU, and a high burnup rate at 60 GWd/MTU.
  • Further, this approach will enable the development of a so-called risk-informed regulatory framework, which is more reasonable than conventional approaches that rely more on conservatism. Thus, under the frame of a probabilistic approach, this study attempts to integrate more elements into the development of a realistic aircraft crash scenario, including possible damage consequences and associated release of fission products to the environment.
  • From the probability analysis, which takes into account parameter uncertainties with assumptions for three different facility capacities, the conclusion is that an AI on a single fully loaded storage cask is not expected to cause a radiological impact that exceeds regulatory limits under the worst-case scenario for the three sets of design structures studied here. To achieve the final goal of complete risk assessment, as detailed in the Introduction, a fire scenario and a secondary mechanical impact scenario on multiple casks can be added to the proposed framework in order to evaluate accurately the overall associated radiological consequences to the public and the environment following an aircraft crash.

대상 데이터

  • Since it is difficult to justify the impact orientations, it is assumed that the impact angle is equally distributed between 0° and 90° on the cask body; this is done in order to provide a comprehensive and systematic evaluation of all the impact cases without the need for an exact clue of the possibility of occurrence. The jet engine of a B747 was chosen for this study to provide an upper bound impact load on the cask body. Whereas the scenario itself is a general impact scenario that can represent both commercial airplanes and military or hobby aircrafts.

이론/모형

  • The computer code HOTSPOT v.3.0.2 [27], which was developed based on the Gaussian dispersion plume model, is used in this study to estimate the radionuclide spread from the accident. The reference person is presumed to have a breathing height of 1.
  • The dynamic impact characteristics of a fuel assembly inside the cask are analyzed using the explicit nonlinear FE code ABAQUS [21]. Any method to evaluate fuel assembly response under mechanical impact load requires a detailed FE model.
  • The mathematical model of the probability density function, as proposed by Oztemel and S € ‚ ensoy [19] using the lognormal distribution model, is applied to represent the uncertainty in the compressive strength of concrete for the three classes (C16, C20, and C25) shown in Fig. 4.
  • Descriptions of the estimation process for associated radioactive material releases from the release fraction coefficients and the source term of radioactive inventory are described in the authors' previous work [12]. Three inventories for the radionuclides involved in the scenario that dominate the inhalation dose for all the chemical elements classes (volatiles, fission gases, and solid particles) are calculated using the ORIGEN-ARP of SCALE v.6.1.3 code [24] and presented in Fig. 13.
본문요약 정보가 도움이 되었나요?

참고문헌 (27)

  1. U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission, A pilot probabilistic risk assessment of a dry cask storage system at a nuclear power plant, NUREG-1864, 2007. 

  2. NUS Corporation, Review of proposed dry-storage concepts using probabilistic risk assessment, EPRI NP-3365, 1984. 

  3. S. Lee, W.-S. Choi, K.-S. Seo, Safety assessment of a metal cask under aircraft engine crash, Nucl. Eng. Technol. 48 (2016) 505-517. 

  4. J.-H. Yoon, W.-S. Choi, S. Lee, K.-S. Seo, Arising technical issues in the development of a transportation and storage system of spent nuclear fuel in Korea, J. Nucl. Eng. Technol. 43 (2011) 413-420. 

  5. K. Shirai, K. Namba, T. Saegusa, Safety analysis of dual purpose metal cask subjected to impulsive load due to aircraft engine crash, J. Power Energy Syst. 3 (2009) 72-82. 

  6. B. Droste, H. Volzke, G. Wieser, L. Qiao, Safety margins of spent fuel transport and storage casks considering aircraft crash impacts, Radioact. Mater. Transp. 13 (2002) 313-316. 

  7. G. Marchaud, L. Vilela, S. Nallet, Designing a radioactive material storage cask against airplane crashes with LS-DYNA, 3rd International LS-DYNA Users Conference, Dearborn, Michigan, USA, 2014, pp. 1-11. 

  8. G. Wieser, L. Qiao, A. Eberle, H. Volzke, Thermo-mechanical finite element analyses of bolted cask lid, Packag. Transp. Storage Secur. Radioact. Mater. 15 (2004) 223-230. 

  9. G. Wieser, L. Qiao, H. Volzke, D. Wolff, B. Droste, Safety analysis of casks under extreme impact conditions, Packag. Transp. Storage Secur. Radioact. Mater. 15 (2004) 141-147. 

  10. J. Stepan, J. Maly, I. Holub, Consequences of the large commercial aircraft crash into the interim spent fuel storage facility, Proceedings of SMiRT 18, Beijing, China, 2005. 

  11. U.S. Department of Energy, Accident analysis for aircraft crash into hazardous facilities, DOE-STD-3014, 2006. 

  12. B. Almomani, S. Lee, D. Jang, H.G. Kang, Probabilistic risk assessment of aircraft impact on a spent nuclear fuel dry storage, Nucl. Eng. Des. 311 (2017) 104-119. 

  13. B. Thomauske, Realization of German concept for interim storage of spent nuclear fuelcurrent situation and prospect, Proceedings of WM03, Tucson, AZ, USA, February 23-27, 2003. 

  14. D. Wolff, M. Jaunich, U. Probst, S. Nagelschmidt, Understanding the long-term behavior of sealing systems and neutron shielding material for extended dry cask storage, Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management PSAM 12, PSAM12, Honolulu, Hawaii, June 2014. 

  15. B. Almomani, S. Lee, H.G. Kang, Structural analysis of a metal spent-fuel storage cask in an aircraft crash for risk assessment, Nucl. Eng. Des. 308 (2016) 60-72. 

  16. Nuclear Energy Institute, Methodology for performing aircraft impact assessments for new plant designs, NEI 07-13, Revision 8P, 2011. 

  17. E. Kausel, Speed of Aircraft, Ch. 3 [Internet]. 2002. Available from: http://web.mit.edu/civenv/wtc/. [Accessed April 2016]. 

  18. G. Kessler, A. Veser, F.-H. Schluter, W. Raskob, C. Landman, J. Pasler-Sauer, The Risk of Nuclear Energy Technology, Springer, Berlin Heidelberg, 2014. http://doi:10.1007/978-3-642-55116-1. ISBN: 978-3-642-55116-1 (eBook). 

  19. A. Oztemel, S. Sensoy, Mathematical model for the probability distribution of in-situ concrete compressive strength in north Cyprus, in: 29th Conference on Our World in Concrete & Structures, Singapore, 2004, pp. 387-395. 

  20. Livermore Software Technology Corporation, LS-DYNA Keyword User's Manual, Version 971, 2007. California. 

  21. Dassault Systemes, ABAQUS Unified FEA: Complete Solutions for Realistic Simulation [Internet]. 2014. Available from: http://www.3ds.com/products-services/simulia/products/abaqus. [Accessed November 2016]. 

  22. Sandia National Laboratory, Reexamination of spent fuel shipment risk estimates, NUREG/CR-6672, 2004. 

  23. Sandia National Laboratory, Data and methods for assessment of the risks associated with the maritime transport of radioactive materials results of the SeaRAM program studies, SAND98-1171/2, 1998. 

  24. I.C. Gauld, S.M. Bowman, J.E. Horwedel, ORIGEN-ARP: automatic rapid processing for spent fuel depletion, decay, and source term analysis, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Oak Ridge (TN), 2006. ORNL/TM-2005/39. 

  25. US Nuclear Regulatory Commission, Spent fuel transportation risk assessment, NUREG-2125, 2012. 

  26. R.E. Einziger, C. Beyer, Characteristics and behavior of high-burnup fuel that may affect the source terms for cask accidents, Nucl. Technol. 159 (2007) 134-146. 

  27. S.G. Homann, HotSpot-Health Physics Codes-Version 2.071-User's Guide, National Atmospheric Release Advisory Center, Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, 2010. 

저자의 다른 논문 :

LOADING...
섹션별 컨텐츠 바로가기

AI-Helper ※ AI-Helper는 오픈소스 모델을 사용합니다.

AI-Helper 아이콘
AI-Helper
안녕하세요, AI-Helper입니다. 좌측 "선택된 텍스트"에서 텍스트를 선택하여 요약, 번역, 용어설명을 실행하세요.
※ AI-Helper는 부적절한 답변을 할 수 있습니다.

선택된 텍스트

맨위로