[논문]국가 물환경관리정책 지원을 위한 수질모델링 기술의 발전방향

정세웅; 김성진; 박형석; 서동일

doi:10.15681/kswe.2020.36.6.621

국가 물환경관리정책 지원을 위한 수질모델링 기술의 발전방향
Future Development Direction of Water Quality Modeling Technology to Support National Water Environment Management Policy 원문보기

한국물환경학회지 = Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment, v.36 no.6, 2020년, pp.621 - 635

정세웅 (충북대학교 환경공학과) , 김성진 (충북대학교 환경공학과) , 박형석 (충북대학교 환경공학과) , 서동일 (충남대학교 환경공학과)

Abstract ▼ AI-Helper

Water quality models are scientific tools that simulate and interpret the relationship between physical, chemical and biological reactions to external pollutant loads in water systems. They are actively used as a key technology in environmental water management. With recent advances in computational power, water quality modeling technology has evolved into a coupled three-dimensional modeling of hydrodynamics, water quality, and ecological inputs. However, there is uncertainty in the simulated results due to the increasing model complexity, knowledge gaps in simulating complex aquatic ecosystem, and the distrust of stakeholders due to nontransparent modeling processes. These issues have become difficult obstacles for the practical use of water quality models in the water management decision process. The objectives of this paper were to review the theoretical background, needs, and development status of water quality modeling technology. Additionally, we present the potential future directions of water quality modeling technology as a scientific tool for national environmental water management. The main development directions can be summarized as follows: quantification of parameter sensitivities and model uncertainty, acquisition and use of high frequency and high resolution data based on IoT sensor technology, conjunctive use of mechanistic models and data-driven models, and securing transparency in the water quality modeling process. These advances in the field of water quality modeling warrant joint research with modeling experts, statisticians, and ecologists, combined with active communication between policy makers and stakeholders.

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표/그림 (8)

그림 Fig. 1. Water quality modeling related papers; (a) yearly growth trends and (b) countries (Scopus; key words "water quality" AND "modeling").
그림 Fig. 2. Number of articles on lake or reservoir water quality modeling by country (Scopus; key words ("water quality" AND "modeling") AND (“lake” OR “reservoir”)).
그림 Fig. 3. Relationship between the complexity of water quality model and model structural uncertainty, input data uncertainty, and total uncertainty (U. S. EPA, 2009).
그림 Fig. 4. Various origins of errors in the water quality model.
표 Table 1. Comparison of characteristics of major water quality models
그림 Fig. 5. Coupling of different characteristics of mechanic models and data-driven models.
그림 Fig. 6. Conceptual diagram of mechanical model, data-based model, theory-based data science (Modified from Schuwirth et al., 2019).
그림 Fig. 7. Example of building a Korean water quality model open platform.

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