초록 ▼

최종(연차)목표
○ 광산/광산물 통계작성 및 통계시스템 구축
○ 희유금속 원재료 교역통계 구축
○ 광물자원의 산업생산성 분석
○ 광물자원 정책동향 및 자원시장 동향 분석

개발내용 및 결과
○ 국내 광산/광산물 통계 구축 및 통계집 발간 (월간/연간)
○ 희유금속 교역통계 작성 및 희유금속 원재료 교역 분석집 발간
○ 광종별 생산성 모델 구축 및 평가
○ 광물자원 통계포털 개편 Mineral Commodity Information 운영 (http://mici.kigam.re.kr

최종(연차)목표
○ 광산/광산물 통계작성 및 통계시스템 구축
○ 희유금속 원재료 교역통계 구축
○ 광물자원의 산업생산성 분석
○ 광물자원 정책동향 및 자원시장 동향 분석

개발내용 및 결과
○ 국내 광산/광산물 통계 구축 및 통계집 발간 (월간/연간)
○ 희유금속 교역통계 작성 및 희유금속 원재료 교역 분석집 발간
○ 광종별 생산성 모델 구축 및 평가
○ 광물자원 통계포털 개편 Mineral Commodity Information 운영 (http://mici.kigam.re.kr)
○ 통계의 품질 향상 및 고도화 방안 수립

기대효과
○ 광산/광산물 통계 DB와 Web 운영을 통해 통계 수요자에게 효율적인 서비스 제공
○ 축적된 국내 광물 통계DB와 국내 광산에 관한 정보 제공을 통해 국가 자원안보, 자원관리 등 자원정책, 광물산업정책,자원관련기술 개발 정책 수립을 지원

적용분야
○ 본 사업을 통해 작성된 간행물을 정부, 공공기관 및 민간기업에 배포
○ 자원확보-기술개발-수급관리 관련 정책결정을 위한 기초자료제공
○ 정부부처에 기초자료 제공 및 국가 자원관리 정책 선도
○ 광업권 관리, 국내광산개발 융자지원 등의 광업행정업무의 기반 자료로 활용(광업등록사무소, 광산보안사무소,광물자원공사, 광해공단 등)
○ 국내 광해방지법, 광업법 개정 등 광업 관련 법․제도 입안 및 개정 지원 및 정보 제공

Abstract ▼

Ⅳ. Results
○ Statistics on supply-demand of mineral products and mining operation was produced based on the Mines Law. Monthly and annual statistics of metal ores, non-metal ores and coal was produced. Futhermore, statistics was distributed through publication of monthly mineral information & yea

Ⅳ. Results
○ Statistics on supply-demand of mineral products and mining operation was produced based on the Mines Law. Monthly and annual statistics of metal ores, non-metal ores and coal was produced. Futhermore, statistics was distributed through publication of monthly mineral information & yearbook of mineral statistics and website of Mineral Economics-Policy department & mobile web.

○‘Korea Mineral Information’ contains graphic summaries of 11 mineral commodity market trends which are selected based on the proportion of domestic and foreign interest in mineral market. In 2015, ‘Korea Mineral Information’ has been revised and enlarged to understand not only domestic mineral commodity market trend but international commodity market information. So the enlarged editions contain English summary on the international and domestic general economic and commodity market trends and graphic analysis and forecasts on World Metal Market Trends using data of Thomson Reuters, world class financial and commodity market research agency .

○‘Analysis on Mineral Commodity Supply and Demand’, distinguished from simple mineral commodity supply / demand statistics, provides insight of domestic and international mineral resources market trends. To analyze market trends of mineral commodity, 14 minerals are selected among legally appointed minerals. And mine production, operating status, trade, domestic and international market trends, price trends of each 14 minerals are investigated and analyzed. Selected 14 Minerals are gold, silver, lead ore, zinc ore, iron ore, nickel ore, molybdenum ore, limestone, clay, pyrophylite, feldspar, silica stone and silica sand.

○ The difference between ‘Analysis on Mineral Commodity Supply and Demand’ and existing mineral commodity supply / demand statistics of Related domestic/international organizations is that the way of approach(from mine production to consumption of mineral commodity) is vertically integrated. Thus, users have a advantage of collecting data in an easily accessible manner. The needs for Korean mineral commodity market information have been grown to promote and exchange information of commodity market in international market. So, 'Korea Mineral Information'(English version of Korean mineral commodity statistics) has been published in response to the needs.

○ Despite the recovery in the US economy, metal prices in international market are weak in the first half of 2015 and 2016 due to delay of the EU economic recovery and slowdown in the Chinese economy, the largest mineral consumer. In addition, international gold prices are continued to decline in 2015 due to the US interest rate hike and the stronger US dollar, but are up in the first half of 2016 due to the weakening of the US dollar. The domestic gold production has continued to increase for the past three years due to increased production of LS Nikko and Korea Zinc, despite the decline in consumption and price declines in the international market. The domestic gold imports have also increased in recent years. The domestic copper imports grew 12% YoY in 2015 due to a rise in demand for copper due to the construction boom. For the first time since the global financial crisis, domestic crude steel production has decreased, so domestic iron ore imports declined in 2015 and a major iron ore mine in Korea, Handeok,has been closed in 2016. However, with the increase in production capacity of POSCO, nickel imports and nickel production have been steadily increasing. The production of limestone and clay, cement raw materials, increased significantly in 2015 due to the Construction boom. Meanwhile, China's iron ore, base metal and minor metal imports have slowed down due to the economic slowdown

○ Trade statistics of raw materials of the rare metals in Koreas was selected as the 2016 national statistics development project of the KOSTAT, furthermore statistical categories were expanded from the planned performances in KIGAM major projects through the commission of the projec and the net amount of rare metals was estimated. In addition, to secure the public confidence in statistics and to promote the dissemination, trade statistics of raw materials of the rare metals in Koreas were approved as national statistics by KOSTAT Dec. 18.

○ Total trade volume(import+export) of rare metal-raw materials(9,767 mil.$) in 2015 decreased 13 percent than that of 2014(11,198 mill.$). Especially, the decrease rate of import(14%) year on year in 2014 larger than that of export of rare metals-raw materials(9%). Analyzing the trade structure by types, import volume of each type was as following oder – parts 3,819 mil.$, metal 2,659 mil.$, alloy 1,648 mil.$, compounds 1,308 mil.$, ore 874 mil.$, scrap 194 mil.$. And export volume of each type was as following oder – parts 3,889 mil.$., metal 1,836 mil.$, alloy 700 mil.$, compounds 307 mil.$, scrap 192 mil.$., ore 49 mil.$

○ This study analyzes the energy and mineral resources demand system of the Korean economy which is highly dependent on imports of them, and builds basic data for their demand trends and forecasts. The frameworks applied to the analysis are a multi-stage transcendental log cost model and a multi-stage demand system model of Edgerton (1991) based on the Almost Ideal Demand System(AIDS) model of Deaton and Muellbauer (1980).

○ Using the data divided by two periods, on the year 1997 when the East Asian financial crisis occurred, from 1981 to 2014, the two stage demand system was estimated by way of a multi-stage demand model and a multi-stage transcendental log cost model. As a result, the elasticities of demand for energy resources in the Korean economy showed a more inelastic change in price and income in the period after the East Asian financial crisis, and the elasticities of demand for mineral resources are more elastic in terms of price, more or less inelastic respectively.

○ For energy resources, coal, crude oil, and natural gas were taken into account. In the case of coal, price elasticity was elastic in before period and income elasticity is elastic in after period on the basis of the East Asian financial crisis. The elasticity of crude oil and natural gas showed an increasing elasticity in the after period compared with the before period. The elasticity of price of crude oil increased and the elasticity of price elasticity of natural gas changed in an inelastic direction. Income elasticity was elastic in the before period for crude oil and after period for natural gas.

목차 Contents

• 표지 ... 1제 출 문 ... 2연차보고서 요약서 ... 4요 약 문 ... 6SUMMARY ... 11CONTENTS ... 16목차 ... 18표목차 ... 20그림목차 ... 21제 1 장 연구개발과제의 개요 ... 26 제 1 절 연구개발의 목적 및 필요성 ... 26 제 2 절 연구개발 범위 ... 28 1. 최종목표 ... 28 2. 연도별 연구목표 및 내용 ... 28 3. 추진전략 및 방법 ... 30 4. 추진체계 ... 32제 2 장 광산물/광산 통계생산 ... 33 제 1 절 광산물/광산 통계 구조 ... 33 1. 광산물/광산 통계작성 체계 ... 33 2. 광산물/광산 작성 범주 ... 37 제 2 절 광산물/광업 통계 생산 및 확산 ... 38 1. 통계 생산 및 DB 관리 시스템 운영 ... 38 2. 광산물/광업 통계 확산 ... 39제 3 장 광물자원 생산성 분석 ... 51 제 1 절 광산물 수급 분석 ... 51 1. 금 ... 51 2. 동광 ... 64 3. 철광 ... 74 4. 니켈광 ... 83 5. 석회석 ... 90 6. 고령토 ... 103 7. World and China Mineral Market ... 115 제 2 절 희유금속 원재료 교역구조 분석 ... 121 1. 2015년 희유금속 원재료 교역통계 분석 ... 121 2. 2016년 희유금속 원재료 교역분석집 및 지도발간 ... 138 3. 희유금속 통계작성체계 완비 ... 140 4. 희유금속 원재료 교역통계 국가 승인 통계 지정 ... 141 제 3 절 주요 광물의 수요함수 구축 연구 ... 143 1. 연구의 배경 및 필요성 ... 143 2. 분석구조 ... 143 3. 수요체계모형을 응용한 탄력성 추정 ... 144 제 4 절 정부정책 지원 ... 179 1. 해외자원개발탐사사업 예타 평가시스템 구축 ... 179제 4 장 연구개발결과의 활용계획 ... 188제 5 장 참고문헌 ... 190끝페이지 ... 192