[보고서]한반도 해역 생태계 미래변화 예측 I (한반도 해역 생태계 과거 변천도 및 미래변화 시험 전망도 개발)

소재귀

보고서 정보

주관연구기관

한국해양과학기술원
Korea Institute of Ocean Science ＆ Technology

연구책임자

소재귀

참여연구자

강현우 , 김성대 , 장찬주 , 구본화 , 권영신 , 김연경 , 김한나 , 방민경 , 서옥희 , 이승현 , 정희석

보고서유형

최종보고서

발행국가

대한민국

언어

한국어

발행년월

2018-02

과제시작연도

2017

주관부처

해양수산부
Ministry of Oceans and Fisheries

등록번호

TRKO202000007729

과제고유번호

1525007343

사업명

한국해양과학기술원연구운영비지원

DB 구축일자

2020-07-29

키워드

기후변화.생태계변화.순환생태계접합모형.황해 및 동중국해.동해.미래전망.climate change.ecosystem change.physics-ecosystem coupled model.Yellow and East China Sea.East Sea.future projection.

DOI

https://doi.org/10.23000/TRKO202000007729

표 연차별 연구목표 (1차 년도)
표 연차별 연구목표 (2차 년도)
표 연차별 연구목표 (3차 년도)
표 Research road map
표 Research promotion system
표 Schematic diagram of POLCOMS-ERSEM coupled marine system model
표 Model domain and bathymetry for the marine ecosystem simulation for the East Asia
표 Statistics of surface air temperature(℃) in the seas around Korea from the ERA-interim data (1981~2010)
표 Monthly mean surface air temperature(℃) field from the ERA-interim climatology (1981∼2010)
표 The first mode of empirical orthogonal function in each regional sea: ERA-interim surface air temperature
표 Monthly mean mean-sea-level pressure(hPa) field from the ERA-interim climatology(1981~2010)
표 Statistics of mean-sea-level pressure(hPa) in the seas around Korea from the ERA-interim data (1981~2010)
표 The first mode of empirical orthogonal function in each regional sea: ERA-interim mean-sea- level pressure
표 Statistics of zonal wind(m/s) in the seas around Korea from the ERA-interim data (1981~2010)
표 Statistics of meridional wind(m/s) in the seas around Korea from the ERA-interim data (1981~2010)
표 Monthly mean 10m wind vectors in the seas around Korea from the ERA-interim data (1981~2010)
표 The first mode of empirical orthogonal function in each regional sea : ERA-interim 10m wind speed(zonal)
표 The first mode of empirical orthogonal function in each regional sea : ERA-interim 10m wind speed(meridional)
표 Monthly mean relative humidity(%) in the seas around Korea from the ERA-interim data (1981~2010)
표 Statistics of relative humidity(%) in the seas around Korea from the ERA-interim data (1981~2010)
표 The first mode of empirical orthogonal function in each regional sea: ERA-interim relative humidity
표 Monthly mean shortwave radiation(W/㎡) in the seas around Korea from the ERA-interim data (1981~2010)
표 Statistics of shortwave radiation(W/㎡) in the seas around Korea from the ERA-interim data (1981~2010)
표 The first mode of empirical orthogonal function in each regional sea: ERA-interim shortwave radiation
표 Statistics of thermal radiation(W/㎡) in the seas around Korea from the ERA-interim data (1981~2010)
표 Monthly mean thermal radiation(W/㎡) in the seas around Korea from the ERA-interim data (1981~2010)
표 The first mode of empirical orthogonal function in each regional sea: ERA-interim thermal radiation
표 Monthly mean total cloud cover(%) in the seas around Korea from the ERA-interim data (1981~2010)
표 Statistics of total cloud cover(%) in the seas around Korea from the ERA-interim data (1981~2010)
표 The first mode of empirical orthogonal function in each regional sea: ERA-interim thermal radiation
표 Monthly mean total precipitation(㎜/㎡) in the seas around Korea from the ERA-interim data (1981~2010)
표 Statistics of total precipitation(㎜/㎡) in the seas around Korea from the ERA-interim data (1981~2010)
표 The first mode of empirical orthogonal function in each regional sea: ERA-interim total precipitation
표 Surface temperature(left) and salinity(right) climatology of NOC- NEMO 1/12 degree ocean circulation model
표 Volume transport of major straits and annual mean surface current field of NOC-NEMO 1/12 degree ocean circulation model
표 Discharge data(㎥/s) of top ten rivers for model river boundary condition
표 Monthly river discharge of top ten rivers in the model domain
표 Comparison of annual mean nutrients from the top ten rivers in the model domain
표 Chlorophyll_a concentration from the OCCCI-v2 satellite data(left) and that from the surface model result(right) (ex.: mean climaatology in January)
표 Comparison of monthly mean surface temperature(5m) from the model with WOA13 data in the Yellow Sea
표 Comparison of monthly mean surface salinity(5m) from the model with WOA13 data in the Yellow Sea
표 Comparison of monthly mean surface temperature(5m) from the model with WOA13 data in the East China Sea
표 Comparison of monthly mean surface salinity(5m) from the model with WOA13 data in the East China Sea
표 Comparison of monthly mean surface temperature(5m) from the model with WOA13 data in the East Sea
표 Comparison of monthly mean surface salinity(5m) from the model with WOA13 data in the East Sea
표 Model improvement through verification using the Station M (Korea Strait) data
표 Changes in volume transport of the Korea Strait after modification of the model resolution
표 Evaluation of model performance in the Yellow Sea: comparison with KHOA survey line data: temperature, salinity, nitrate, phosphate, silicate, dissolved oxygen
표 Evaluation of model performance in the East China Sea: comparison with KHOA survey line data: temperature, salinity, nitrate, phosphate, silicate, dissolved oxygen
표 Evaluation of model performance in the East Sea: comparison with KHOA survey line data: temperature, salinity, nitrate, phosphate, silicate, dissolved oxygen
표 Climatological mean field of the past 30 years(1981～2010) in the Yellow Sea - monthly mean surface temperature(℃)
표 Climatological mean field of the past 30 years(1981～2010) in the Yellow Sea - monthly mean surface salinity(PSU)
표 Climatological mean field of the past 30 years(1981～2010) in the Yellow Sea - monthly mean mixed layer depth(m)
표 Climatological mean field of the past 30 years(1981～2010) in the Yellow Sea - monthly mean surface phosphate(mmol P/m3)
표 Climatological mean field of the past 30 years(1981～2010) in the Yellow Sea - monthly mean surface nitrate(mmol N/m3)
표 Climatological mean field of the past 30 years(1981～2010) in the Yellow Sea - monthly mean surface silicate(mmol Si/m3)
표 Climatological mean field of the past 30 years(1981～2010) in the Yellow Sea - monthly mean euphotic depth(m)
표 Climatological mean field of the past 30 years(1981～2010) in the Yellow Sea - monthly mean surface chlorophyll_a(mg Chl/m3)
표 Climatological mean field of the past 30 years (1981~2010) in the Yellow Sea - monthly mean depth of Chlorophyll_a maximum(m)
표 Climatological mean field of the past 30 years (1981～2010) in the East China Sea - monthly mean surface temperature(℃)
표 Climatological mean field of the past 30 years (1981～2010) in the East China Sea - monthly mean surface salinity(PSU)
표 Climatological mean field of the past 30 years (1981～2010) in the East China Sea - monthly mean mixed layer depth(m)
표 Climatological mean field of the past 30 years (1981～2010) in the East China Sea - monthly mean surface phosphate(mmol P/m3)
표 Climatological mean field of the past 30 years (1981～2010) in the East China Sea - monthly mean surface nitrate(mmol N/m3)
표 Climatological mean field of the past 30 years (1981～2010) in the East China Sea - monthly mean surface silicate(mmol Si/m3)
표 Climatological mean field of the past 30 years (1981～2010) in the East China Sea - monthly mean euphotic depth(m)
표 Climatological mean field of the past 30 years (1981～2010) in the East China Sea - monthly mean surface chlorophyll_a(mg Chl/m3)
표 Climatological mean field of the past 30 years (1981～2010) in the East China Sea - monthly mean depth of chlorophyll_a maximum(m)
표 Climatological mean field of the past 30 years(1981～2010) in the East Sea - monthly mean surface temperature(℃)
표 Climatological mean field of the past 30 years(1981～2010) in the East Sea - monthly mean surface salinity(PSU)
표 Climatological mean field of the past 30 years(1981～2010) in the East Sea - monthly mean mixed layer depth(m)
표 Climatological mean field of the past 30 years(1981～2010) in the East Sea - monthly mean surface phosphate(mmol P/m3)
표 Climatological mean field of the past 30 years(1981～2010) in the East Sea - monthly mean surface nitrate(mmol N/m3)
표 Climatological mean field of the past 30 years(1981～2010) in the East Sea - monthly mean surfac silicate(mmol Si/m3)
표 Climatological mean field of the past 30 years(1981～2010) in the East Sea - monthly mean euphotic depth(m)
표 Climatological mean field of the past 30 years(1981～2010) in the East Sea - monthly mean surface chlorophyll_a(mg Chl/m3)
표 Climatological mean field of the past 30 years(1981～2010) in the East Sea - monthly mean depth of chlorophyll_a maximum(m)
표 Horizontal distribution of change trend of the past 30 years(1981~2010) in the surface layer of the Yellow Sea
표 Variabilities and trends of the past 30 years(1981~2010) in the surface layer of the Yellow Sea
표 Horizontal distribution of change trend of the past 30 years(1981~2010) in the surface layer of the East China Sea
표 Variabilities and trends of the past 30 years(1981∼2010) in the surface layer of the East China Sea
표 Horizontal distribution of change trend of the past 30 year (1981~2010) in the surface layer of the East Sea
표 Variabilities and trends of the past 30 years(1981∼2010) in the surface layer of the East Sea
표 Changes of volume transport of the East Sea currents in the major straits
표 Periodical and regional change map of seasonal surface chlorophyll_a (deviation from the 30 year mean)
표 Change maps of EVE for the past 30 years in the Yellow Sea (deviation from the 30 year climatological mean)
표 Change maps of EVE for the past 30 years in the East China Sea (deviation from the 30 year climatological mean)
표 Change maps of EVE for the past 30 years in the East Sea (deviation from the 30 year climatological mean)
표 Periodical change map of EVE on the meridional section(124°E) of the Yellow and East China Sea (deviation from the 30 year climatological mean)
표 A list of 23 CMIP5 models used for evaluating reproducibility of present climate
표 Evaluation of simulation level of CMIP5 models for the mixed layer depth
표 Evaluation of simulation level of CMIP5 models for the surface temperature
표 Changjiang River area(left: existing study, Guo et al.(2015); right: Google map)
표 A list of CMIP5 models used for analysis of future change in Changjiang River discharge
표 Precipitation in the Datong area by CMIP5 model and observation/reanalysis (mm/yr) (orange: present; green: future by rcp4.5 scenario; dark green: future by rcp8.5 scenario)
표 Future change of precipitation (㎜/yr) in the Datong area by CMIP5 model(%)
표 Annual mean precipitation by CMIP5 model during 1981~2010
표 Future change by CMIP5 model (future: 2041∼2060 by rcp4.5, present: 1981~2000)
표 Future change by CMIP5 model (future: 2041∼2060 by rcp8.5, present: 1981~2000)
표 Comparison of the Changjiang River discharge variation for the past 30 years(black) and the variation in case of 30% increased for only summer based on the future scenario(red); and the difference of two(below)
표 Change in the monthly mean surface temperature of 2050s compared to that of 2000s in the Yellow Sea
표 Change in the monthly mean surface salinity of 2050s compared to that of 2000s in the Yellow Sea
표 Change in the monthly mean mixed layer depth of 2050s compared to that of 2000s in the Yellow Sea
표 Change in the monthly mean surface phosphate of 2050s compared to that of 2000s in the Yellow Sea
표 Change in the monthly mean surface nitrate of 2050s compared to that of 2000s in the Yellow Sea
표 Change in the monthly mean surface silicate of 2050s compared to that of 2000s in the Yellow Sea
표 Change in the monthly mean euphotic depth of 2050s compared to that of 2000s in the Yellow Sea
표 Change in the monthly mean surface chlorophyll_a of 2050s compared to that of 2000s in the Yellow Sea
표 Change in the monthly mean depth of chlorophyll maximum of 2050s compared to that of 2000s in the Yellow Sea
표 Change in the monthly mean surface temperature of 2050s compared to that of 2000s in the East China Sea
표 Change in the monthly mean surface salinity of 2050s compared to that of 2000s in the East China Sea
표 Change in the monthly mean mixed layer depth of 2050s compared to that of 2000s in the East China Sea
표 Change in the monthly mean surface phosphate of 2050s compared to that of 2000s in the East China Sea
표 Change in the monthly mean surface nitrate of 2050s compared to that of 2000s in the East China Sea
표 Change in the monthly mean surface silicate of 2050s compared to that of 2000s in the East China Sea
표 Change in the monthly mean euphotic depth of 2050s compared to that of 2000s in the East China Sea
표 Change in the monthly mean surface chlorophyll_a of 2050s compared to that of 2000s in the East China Sea
표 Change in the monthly mean depth of chlorophyll maximum of 2050s compared to that of 2000s in the East China Sea
표 Change in the monthly mean surface temperature of 2050s compared to that of 2000s in the East Sea
표 Change in the monthly mean surface salinity of 2050s compared to that of 2000s in the East Sea
표 Change in the monthly mean mixed layer depth of 2050s compared to that of 2000s in the East Sea
표 Change in the monthly mean surface phosphate of 2050s compared to that of 2000s in the East Sea
표 Change in the monthly mean surface nitrate of 2050s compared to that of 2000s in the East Sea
표 Change in the monthly mean surface silicate of 2050s compared to that of 2000s in the East Sea
표 Change in the monthly mean euphotic depth of 2050s compared to that of 2000s in the East Sea
표 Change in the monthly mean surface chlorophyll_a of 2050s compared to that of 2000s in the East Sea
표 Change in the monthly mean depth of chlorophyll maximum of 2050s compared to that of 2000s in the East Sea
표 Monthly mean surface temperature of 2050s(2051∼2060년) in the Yellow Sea
표 Monthly mean surface salinity of 2050s(2051∼2060년) in the Yellow Sea
표 Monthly mean mixed layer depth of 2050s(2051∼2060년) in the Yellow Sea
표 Monthly mean surface phosphate of 2050s(2051∼2060년) in the Yellow Sea
표 Monthly mean surface nitrate of 2050s(2051∼2060년) in the Yellow Sea
표 Monthly mean surface silicate of 2050s(2051∼2060년) in the Yellow Sea
표 Monthly mean euphotic depth of 2050s(2051∼2060년) in the Yellow Sea
표 Monthly mean surface chlorophyll_a of 2050s (2051~2060년) in the Yellow Sea
표 Monthly mean depth of chlorophyll_a maximum of 2050s (2051~2060년) in the Yellow Sea
표 Monthly mean surface temperature of 2050s (2051~2060년) in the East China Sea
표 Monthly mean surface salinity of 2050s(2051∼2060년) in the East China Sea
표 Monthly mean mixed layer depth of 2050s(2051∼2060년) in the East China Sea
표 Monthly mean surface phosphate of 2050s(2051∼2060년) in the East China Sea
표 Monthly mean surface nitrate of 2050s(2051∼2060년) in the East China Sea
표 Monthly mean surface silicate of 2050s(2051∼2060년) in the East China Sea
표 Monthly mean euphotic depth of 2050s(2051∼2060년) in the East China Sea
표 Monthly mean surface chlorophyll_a of 2050s (2051~2060년) in the East China Sea
표 Monthly mean depth of chlorophyll_a maximum of 2050s (2051~2060년) in the East China Sea
표 Monthly mean surface temperature of 2050s(2051∼2060년) in the East Sea
표 Monthly mean surface salinity of 2050s(2051∼2060년) in the East Sea
표 Monthly mean mixed layer depth of 2050s(2051∼2060년) in the East Sea
표 Monthly mean surface phosphate of 2050s(2051∼2060년) in the East Sea
표 Monthly mean surface nitrate of 2050s(2051∼2060년) in the East Sea
표 Monthly mean surface silicate of 2050s(2051∼2060년) in the East Sea
표 Monthly mean euphotic depth of 2050s(2051∼2060년) in the East Sea
표 Monthly mean surface chlorophyll_a of 2050s(2051∼2060년) in the East Sea
표 Monthly mean depth of chlorophyll_a maximum of 2050s (2051∼2060년) in the East Sea
표 Future change of EVE in 2050s compared to those in 2000s in the Yellow Sea (annual mean of 2050s – annual mean of 2000s)
표 Future change of EVE in 2050s compared to those in 2000s in the East China Sea (annual mean of 2050s – annual mean of 2000s)
표 Future change of EVE in 2050s compared to those in 2000s in the East Sea (annual mean of 2050s – annual mean of 2000s)

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