[논문]시스템다이내믹스를 이용한 산업재해율 분석

정희태

doi:10.9728/dcs.2015.16.3.417

시스템다이내믹스를 이용한 산업재해율 분석
System Dynamics Modeling for Policy Analysis of Occupational Injuries 원문보기

디지털콘텐츠학회 논문지 = Journal of Digital Contents Society, v.16 no.3, 2015년, pp.417 - 424

정희태 (Dept.of Health Management, Namseoul University)

초록
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산업의 고도화 및 새로운 기계의 도입, 화학물질 사용 등 산업재해의 다양한 양상과 더불어 생산설비들의 자동화, 대형화로 인해 산업재해 발생의 양상이 점차 다양해지고 있다.국내 산업재해는 OECD(Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development) 경제협력개벌기구대비, 상대적 하위수준에 있어 기업 발생 산업재해는 근로자들의 심리적 및 치료와 보상 손실에도 타격이 되어 기업 총 생산과 이윤 추구에도 중요문제가 야기되고 있다. 더불어, 장애자와 사망유족들의 증가로 생활 안정문제 등 사회적 문제도 제기된다. 이러한 동기에서 본 논문은 산업재해 통계와 산재예방사업을 분석하고, 시스템다이내믹스 법론을 이용하여 산업재해율을 예측하고 평가하는 모델을 개발하였다. 모델은 근로자수 모델, 재해자수 모델, 재해율 모델 등 총 12개의 모델로 구성되었고, 규모별 분석에서는 근로자수를 기준으로 12개 그룹으로, 업종별 분석에서는 제조업, 건설업 등 총 10개의 업종으로 구분하여 개발하였다. 개발된 모델을 토대로 업종별 규모별 산업재해율을 예측하고 산재예방사업을 다각도로 평가하는 방법론을 제시하였다.

Abstract ▼ AI-Helper

The research of occupational injury for safety and health is a comparatively recent occurrence. As labor activities took place regarding to employee concerns in industrial uprising, human resources health was tried to enhanced as a labor safety subject. Noticing that traditional statistics approach has limitations in learning future forecasting and major factors causing occupational injuries in each industry, Korean Government initiated a quantitative systematic simulation model project to analyze how the annual injury rate has been dropped and stays in a level for recent years. From this motivation and the project, system dynamics models have been developed to explain the mechanisms for reducing annual injury rate, and the mechanisms quantitatively. The main cause effects for the reduction of annual injury rate were due to the government driven investment on safety facilities. In overall viewpoint the gain achievable from these efforts has been reached a saturated level. However, it could reduce the annual injury rate if you chose the industry and size carefully. The model for forecasting, major injury factors, safety budget and allocation are introduced and analyzed, and Analyzing occupational injury related factors can also reduce employee injury and disease related costs, including medical care, quit, and disability assistance costs.

주제어

AI 본문요약
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* AI 자동 식별 결과로 적합하지 않은 문장이 있을 수 있으니, 이용에 유의하시기 바랍니다.

문제 정의

The first system dynamics project carried out in Year 2009, and after thorough review the second project has started in Year 2011³. This paper is based on the first system dynamics project.

참고문헌 (22)

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Pun, K.-F., R.C.M. Yam & W.G. Lewis. 2003. "Safety management system registration in the shipping industry", International Journal of Quality & Reliability Management, 20(6): 704-721.

상세보기
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