본 연구에서는 델파이 기법과 AHP분석을 이용하여 경인 아라뱃길의 수질에 영향을 미치는 다양한 인자를 설정하고 하천의 수질을 체계적이고 객관적으로 평가할 수 있는 평가 항목 및 지표를 개발하였다. 분석결과, 최상위 평가항목에서의 중요도는 물리 환경적 요인 28%, 관리적 요인 26%, 자연 고정적 요인 26%, 사회 문화적 요인이 20% 순으로 나타났다. 3계층 평가항목인 물리 환경적 요인의 내적 요인에서는 자정능력의 손실, 외적 요인에서는 귤현보 및 교량에 의한 오니토 퇴적이 중요도가 가장 높은 것으로 나타났으며, 관리적 요인의 시설요인에서는 축산 및 폐수처리시설의 영향, 정책/제도적 요인에서는 규제권역상의 문제로 나타났다. 또한 자연 고정적 요인의 수생태/점오염원에서는 굴포천의 오염수, 생활환경/비점오염원은 기타하천의 유입수로 나타났으며, 사회 문화적 요인에서 경제적 요인에서는 화물 및 여객운항, 외적 요인에서는 하수처리시설 부족에 따른 영향이 중요도가 가장 높은 것으로 나타났다. 이러한 결과들은 향후 경인 아라뱃길의 수질개선 사업의 우선순위를 산정할 수 있는 논리적 근거와 객관성을 마련하기 위하여 각각의 평가지표들을 측정할 수 있는 구체적인 방법론과 기법에 대한 연구가 지속되어야 할 것이다.
본 연구에서는 델파이 기법과 AHP분석을 이용하여 경인 아라뱃길의 수질에 영향을 미치는 다양한 인자를 설정하고 하천의 수질을 체계적이고 객관적으로 평가할 수 있는 평가 항목 및 지표를 개발하였다. 분석결과, 최상위 평가항목에서의 중요도는 물리 환경적 요인 28%, 관리적 요인 26%, 자연 고정적 요인 26%, 사회 문화적 요인이 20% 순으로 나타났다. 3계층 평가항목인 물리 환경적 요인의 내적 요인에서는 자정능력의 손실, 외적 요인에서는 귤현보 및 교량에 의한 오니토 퇴적이 중요도가 가장 높은 것으로 나타났으며, 관리적 요인의 시설요인에서는 축산 및 폐수처리시설의 영향, 정책/제도적 요인에서는 규제권역상의 문제로 나타났다. 또한 자연 고정적 요인의 수생태/점오염원에서는 굴포천의 오염수, 생활환경/비점오염원은 기타하천의 유입수로 나타났으며, 사회 문화적 요인에서 경제적 요인에서는 화물 및 여객운항, 외적 요인에서는 하수처리시설 부족에 따른 영향이 중요도가 가장 높은 것으로 나타났다. 이러한 결과들은 향후 경인 아라뱃길의 수질개선 사업의 우선순위를 산정할 수 있는 논리적 근거와 객관성을 마련하기 위하여 각각의 평가지표들을 측정할 수 있는 구체적인 방법론과 기법에 대한 연구가 지속되어야 할 것이다.
This research has developed the criteria and index for systematically and objectively assessing the quality of river water by fixing the various factors that affect Gyeongin ARA waterway's water quality through analysis with the Delphi Technique and analytic hierarchy program (AHP) Method. Based on ...
This research has developed the criteria and index for systematically and objectively assessing the quality of river water by fixing the various factors that affect Gyeongin ARA waterway's water quality through analysis with the Delphi Technique and analytic hierarchy program (AHP) Method. Based on the results, the highest criteria are, in order of importance, physical and environmental factors 28%, administrative factors 26%, natural fixed factors 26% and finally, cultural and social factors 20%. The three dimensions of the criteria show that for the internal physical and environmental factors, the most important are the loss of self-purification capacity, and the external factors are Gulpocheon and the sludge deposit due to Gyulhweon-weir the bridge. The facility factor in management was affected by the coagulation and waste water disposal facilities. The problem for the policy and institutional factors was seen in the regulatory area. The aquatic ecology/ point pollution source for the natural fixed factors show that it is due to the polluted water of Gulpo-cheon and the living environment/ non-point pollution source is shown through the inflow water from other rivers. Cultural and social factors show that the economical causes were due to the cargo and passenger flight operations and the external factors of having a lack of sewage treatment equipment have an importance effect. In order to estimate the order of priority through logical evidence and objectivity, future research must be continued on the evaluation indexes to measure the specific methodology and technique needed to improve the Gyeongin ARA Waterway.
This research has developed the criteria and index for systematically and objectively assessing the quality of river water by fixing the various factors that affect Gyeongin ARA waterway's water quality through analysis with the Delphi Technique and analytic hierarchy program (AHP) Method. Based on the results, the highest criteria are, in order of importance, physical and environmental factors 28%, administrative factors 26%, natural fixed factors 26% and finally, cultural and social factors 20%. The three dimensions of the criteria show that for the internal physical and environmental factors, the most important are the loss of self-purification capacity, and the external factors are Gulpocheon and the sludge deposit due to Gyulhweon-weir the bridge. The facility factor in management was affected by the coagulation and waste water disposal facilities. The problem for the policy and institutional factors was seen in the regulatory area. The aquatic ecology/ point pollution source for the natural fixed factors show that it is due to the polluted water of Gulpo-cheon and the living environment/ non-point pollution source is shown through the inflow water from other rivers. Cultural and social factors show that the economical causes were due to the cargo and passenger flight operations and the external factors of having a lack of sewage treatment equipment have an importance effect. In order to estimate the order of priority through logical evidence and objectivity, future research must be continued on the evaluation indexes to measure the specific methodology and technique needed to improve the Gyeongin ARA Waterway.
* AI 자동 식별 결과로 적합하지 않은 문장이 있을 수 있으니, 이용에 유의하시기 바랍니다.
문제 정의
All the pollution sources should be controlled and purified, but more focus on controlling the most serious potential pollution sources in the region can contribute to prevention of water pollution through efficient allocation of resource and time. Thus the aim of the study is to select a variety of factors influencing the water quality of ARA waterway and to develop the assessment items and the index to be able to evaluate systematically and objectively the water environment of a stream. The assessment items are selected by the brainstorming of the related experts, the Delphi technique and analytic hierarchy program (AHP) method are used for the selection of the factors and the development of the index.
제안 방법
For reflecting unbiased opinion, We divide the experts into two groups, namely technology experts and economics experts, pick the remaining score except the highest and the lowest score in each group, and calculate the total score. In the event that the respondents of the survey related to Delphi technique and AHP have little knowledge and understanding of the current state of ARA waterway, objective outcome of survey can not be obtained, thus researchers selected the survey participants after careful consideration, and made a prior explanation for the survey in order to meet Inconsistency Rate required in decision- making. Referentially, AHP is not a probability-based parametric statistical analysis methodology but a non-parametric methodology to calculate the weight.
In the first and second stage of Delphi analysis process, we asked a series of intensive question to the experts over the fundamentally important problems influencing the water environment of ARA waterway, assessed or revised the expert's personal views after gathering and summarizing what the respondents answer, and so sought a solution to the water environment of the waterway with casting open-ended questions, confirmed and ranked the variety of cause factors.
2]. In the third stage, all the experts reached the unified opinion, the reliability analysis and the validity analysis were carried out.
The assessment items are selected through their consultation by 40 experts in various field of civil engineering, environment, policy, and administration in order to reach a final conclusion for the improvement of water quality of the ARA waterway[Table 1]. For reflecting unbiased opinion, We divide the experts into two groups, namely technology experts and economics experts, pick the remaining score except the highest and the lowest score in each group, and calculate the total score.
The purpose of the study is to examine that what kind of methodology for the survey and the analysis should be used in order to improve the water environment of streams including the Gyeongin ARA waterway, and to recognize the necessity for a systematic and scientific approach, and to suggest that in empirical side, the measure for concrete assessment method and technique should be considered. Additionally, given that the pursuit of a solution to an assessment method and technique should be required, the study was attempted in the hope of plenty of further studies following the study.
The researchers invented an assessment index and a score sheet for ARA waterway through analysing the weight and the transformed score based on the relative priority order between assessment items on the basis of the outcome of Delphi technique and AHP analysis[Table 8]. As shown in [Table 8], the assessment items such as ‘sludge deposit due to Gyulhweon weir and bridge', ‘polluted water from Gulpo-cheon’, ‘influent water from other stream’, ‘loss of self purification capacity’, ‘problem of regulation area’, ‘livestock wastewater and wastewater treatment plant’, ‘Lack of wastewater treatment plant’ are put in the high rank of the priority order.
The study conducted the reliability analysis by utilizing Cronbach‘s α for the purpose of verifying the reliability.
The study selected the various factor affecting the water environment of the Gyeongin ARA waterway, and used Delphi technique and AHP in order to develop the assessment items and the index for systematic and objective evaluation in terms of the control of water quality.
The study picks 40 persons as a sample. The survey tool consists of two topics, Delphi technique is designed to evaluate the items on main cause of, serious effect on, adverse effect on creation of water environment of ARA waterway on Likert-type scale of 5 points, meanwhile AHP technique is designed for the comparison method on the scale of 9 points.
From now on, the precautionary policy for the control of water quality should be set up with a view to subdivide the decision-making process for the improvement of water quality of the Gyeongin ARA waterway and then prepare for a logical basis and an objectivity to evaluate the priority order of water quality improvement project. with regard to applicability in real sites, the discussion should be carried on steadily on detailed methodology and technique to be able to measure respective assessment item.
대상 데이터
Generally, more than 30 samples is the minimum number of samples to be able to make normal distribution on the basis of central limit theorem. The study picks 40 persons as a sample. The survey tool consists of two topics, Delphi technique is designed to evaluate the items on main cause of, serious effect on, adverse effect on creation of water environment of ARA waterway on Likert-type scale of 5 points, meanwhile AHP technique is designed for the comparison method on the scale of 9 points.
Yang and Kim(2013)[7] used the Delphi method to develop a vulnerability index for drought based on Nakdong watershed. Twelve indicators were selected based on three groups, ie hydrological, meteorological, and humanistic groups. Studies related to river water quality, Yeo(2011)[8] has developed the method for choosing alternative of water resources project and deciding investment priority by making use of Analytic Hierarchy Program, AHP.
이론/모형
Content Validity and Validity are used to verify the validity of Delphi technique. Content Validity is analysed based on Content Validity Ratio, CVR suggested by Lawshe(1975)[15].
Thus the aim of the study is to select a variety of factors influencing the water quality of ARA waterway and to develop the assessment items and the index to be able to evaluate systematically and objectively the water environment of a stream. The assessment items are selected by the brainstorming of the related experts, the Delphi technique and analytic hierarchy program (AHP) method are used for the selection of the factors and the development of the index.
성능/효과
As for three tiers in the evaluation items, loss of self purification capacity at the internal factor in the physical·environmental factors, sludge deposit due to Gyulhweon weir and bridge at the external factor is the highest in terms of importance, livestock wastewater and wastewater treatment plant at the facility factor in the administrative factors, problem of regulation area at the policy and regulation factor, polluted water from Gulpo-cheon at the aquatic ecology and point pollution sources factor in the natural/fixed environmental factors, influent water from other stream at the living environment and non-point pollution sources factor, freighter and passenger boat at the financial factor in the cultural and social factors, lack of wastewater treatment plant at the external factor is the highest in terms of importance.
[Table 7] shows the priority order at three tier and the result of the importance. As the result, in the assessment items of three tiers, polluted water from Gulpo-cheon at aquatic ecology and point pollution sources in natural/fixed factors stands at 0.507, pesticide and livestock wastewater flowed in from other stream at living environment and non-point pollution sources indicates at 0.360, freighter and passenger boat at financial factor in social and cultural factors is 0.327, lack of wastewater treatment plant at external factor records at 0.457, the highest in importance. Loss of self purification capacity at internal factor in physical and environmental factors is 0.
Kang and Lee(2006)[6] surveyed 127 experts and used ahp analysis to analyze the importance of WRSI componen. the result of survey represented that efficiency and equity of water use and water quality for river restoration are mahor issues in enhancing the water resources sustainability. Yang and Kim(2013)[7] used the Delphi method to develop a vulnerability index for drought based on Nakdong watershed.
후속연구
The purpose of the study is to examine that what kind of methodology for the survey and the analysis should be used in order to improve the water environment of streams including the Gyeongin ARA waterway, and to recognize the necessity for a systematic and scientific approach, and to suggest that in empirical side, the measure for concrete assessment method and technique should be considered. Additionally, given that the pursuit of a solution to an assessment method and technique should be required, the study was attempted in the hope of plenty of further studies following the study. From now on, the precautionary policy for the control of water quality should be set up with a view to subdivide the decision-making process for the improvement of water quality of the Gyeongin ARA waterway and then prepare for a logical basis and an objectivity to evaluate the priority order of water quality improvement project.
참고문헌 (19)
S. A. Jung, C. H. Park, E. T. Jung, and D. K. Koh, "Management Plan for Water Environment of Gyeongin ARA waterway," Korea Water Resources Association, Water For Future, Vol.45, No.12, pp.90-96, 2012.
Korea Water Resources Corporation, Water quality stabilization management at Gyeongin ARA waterway, 2013.
Z. H. Yin and D. I. Seo, "Water Quality Modeling of the Ara Canal, Using EFDC-WASP Model in Series," Journal of Korean Society of Environmental Engineers, Vol.32, No.2, pp.101-108, 2013.
J. H. Choi, J. S. Kim, J. H. Kwon, and Y. I. Moon, "Weighting assessment on evaluation indicators of dam rehabilitation using the AHP analysis," Journal of Korea Water Resources Association, Vol.49, No.5, pp.381-389, 2016.
H. J. Lee and M. P. Shim, "Decision Making for Priority of Water Allocation during Drought by Analytic Hierarchy Process," Journal of Korea Water Resources Association, Vol.35, No.6, pp.703-714, 2002.
M. G. Kang and G. M. Lee, "Development of Assessment Index for Water Resources Sustainability and Weights Evaluation of It's Components," Journal of Korea Water Resources Association, Vol.39, No.1, pp.59-68, 2006.
J. S. Yang and I. H. Kim, "Development of Drought Vulnerability Index Using Delphi Method Considering Climate Change and Trend Analysis in Nakdong River Basin," Journal of the Korean Society of Civil Engineers, Vol.33, No.6, pp.2245-2254, 2013.
K. D. Yeo, Development of Multi-Criteria Decision Making Model for the Selection of Preferable Alternative and Determination of Investment Priority in Water Resources Projects, Inha university, Doctorate thesis, 2011.
J. S. Park, Development of Classification Model for Decision on Priority for River Water Quality Improvement, Chonnam National University, Doctorate thesis, 2012.
Y. Hur, (An) analysis of the core elements and curriculum evaluation of medical professionalism, Yonsei University, Doctorate thesis, 2006.
J. S. Lee, Study Methods 21 : Delphi Technique, Kyoyookbook, 2001.
S. Y. Rho, Delphi Technique : Prediction the future by Professional Insight, Korea Research Institute for Human Settlements, 2006.
L. Cronbach, "Coefficient alpha and the internal structure of tests," Psychomerika. Vol.16, No.3, pp.297-334, 1951.
K. S. Lee, J. K. Jung, B. Y. Heo, and S. J. Byeon, "A Study on the Effect Analysis for the Regeneration Project for the Zones Vulnerable to Natural Disaster using Structural Equation Model," Journal of Water Resources Association, Vol.46, No.8, pp.843-855, 2013.
Y. J. Jeon, A Study on The Job Performance Competencies of Technology Teacher Regarding Curriculum Education, Chungnam National University, Doctorate thesis, 2005.
T. L. Saaty, Multicriteria Decision Making: The Analytic Hierarchy Process, Planning, Priority Setting, Resource Allocation, 1990.
T. L. Saaty and K. P. Kearns, Analytical Planning: The Organization of System International Series in Modern Applied Mathematics and Computer Science, Vol.7, Pergamon Press, 1985.
T. L. Saaty and L. G. Vargas, The Logic of Priorities: Applications of Business, Energy, Health and Transportation, International Series in Management Science Operations Research, Kluwer-Nijhoff Publishing, Boston, The Hague, London, 1982.
※ AI-Helper는 부적절한 답변을 할 수 있습니다.