[논문]도시개발 시나리오에 따른 농업지역의 생태계서비스 변화 분석 - 3기 신도시 남양주 왕숙1지구를 대상으로 -

김수경; 최재연; 박찬; 송원경; 김수련

doi:10.14249/eia.2021.30.2.117

도시개발 시나리오에 따른 농업지역의 생태계서비스 변화 분석 - 3기 신도시 남양주 왕숙1지구를 대상으로 -
Changes of Ecosystem Services in Agricultural Area According to Urban Development Scenario - For the Namyangju Wangsuk District 1, the 3rd Phase New Town - 원문보기

환경영향평가 = Journal of environmental impact assessment, v.30 no.2, 2021년, pp.117 - 131

김수경 (서울시립대학교 일반대학원 조경학과) , 최재연 (서울시립대학교 일반대학원 조경학과) , 박찬 (서울시립대학교 도시과학대학 조경학과) , 송원경 (단국대학교 환경원예.조경학부) , 김수련 (서울시립대학교 도시과학대학 도시공학과)

초록
AI-Helper

현재 도시개발은 택지공급의 안정화를 위하여 지속적으로 진행되고 있다. 도시개발에 따른 토지이용 변화는 생태계서비스에 영향을 미치므로 다양한 도시 공간구조를 고려한 생태계서비스 평가의 중요성이 대두되고 있다. 그러나 도시개발에 의한 농업지역의 생태계서비스 변화를 고찰한 연구는 미흡한 실정이다. 따라서 본 연구는 도시개발에 따른 농업지역의 생태계서비스 변화를 분석하고, 향후 도시계획 단계의 의사결정 지원에 활용 가능성을 검토하는데 목적이 있다. 이를 위해 남양주 왕숙1지구를 대상으로 도시개발 전과 개발 후에 대한 시나리오를 설정하였으며, InVEST 모델을 활용하여 생태계서비스 변화를 비교분석하였다. 도시개발 이전의 생태계서비스 분석결과, 서식처 질과 수자원공급량은 시간의 흐름에 따라 증가하는 양상이 나타난 반면, 탄소고정량과 작물생산량은 감소하는 것으로 나타났다. 도시개발 이후의 생태계서비스 분석결과, 시나리오별 생태계서비스는 모든 항목이 2018년 대비 감소하는 것으로 확인되었다. 도시개발 시나리오 가운데 압축도시는 수자원공급량의 가치가 가장 낮게 도출된 반면, 서식처 질, 탄소고정량, 작물생산량의 가치는 가장 높게 도출되었다. 이러한 본 연구의 결과를 통하여 압축도시는 생태계서비스 측면에서 긍정적인 도시개발 시나리오로 판단되며, 향후 도시개발 및 관리계획 수립단계에서 정책적 의사결정 지원을 위한 기초자료로 활용될 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.

Abstract ▼ AI-Helper

Urban development is continuously being carried out to stabilize housing supply. The importance of ecosystem services assessments considering the various urban spatial structures is emerging as land use change in the wake of urban development has impact on the provision of ecosystem services. However, few studies are available as to the effects of land use transition in agricultural land due to urban development on ecosystem services. The purpose of this study is to examine the applicability of decision-making in the urban planning process by analyzing the impact of land use change on ecosystem services due to urban development. Therefore, the scenario was set on before and after the city development, targeting Namyangju Wangsuk Zone 1 and InVEST model was used to compare and analyze changes in value of ecosystem services. Analysis results of ecosystem services before the urban development, it turned out that habitat quality and water yield increased overtime but carbon storage and crop production decreased. Analysis results of ecosystem services after the urban development indicated that all items in ecosystem services by scenario decreased more than in 2018. Among the scenarios of urban development, compact city had the lowest value of water resource supply but had the highest value in terms of habitat quality, carbon storage amount, and crop production. The study results demonstrate that the compact city has positive effects on ecosystem services and is expected to be used as the basic data for supporting policy decision-making in the establishment of future urban development and management plans.

주제어

표/그림 (9)

그림 Figure 1. Framework.
그림 Figure 2. Study area.
표 Table 1. Description of scenario assumptions
표 Table 2. Data sources used as input for each model
그림 Figure 3. Map of ecosystem services-before urban development.
표 Table 3. Results of ecosystem services data-before urban development
그림 Figure 4. Map of ecosystem services-after urban development.
표 Table 4. Results of ecosystem services data-after urban development
그림 Figure 5. Changes in ecosystem services associated to urbanization (2000-2030).

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