초록

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Abstract ▼ AI-Helper

This study examines the recent military build-ups in the ROK and Japan against North Korea’s ballistic missile programs in line with offensive realism. Offensive realism argues that the desire to survive in international anarchy encourages states to behave aggressively. Whenever possible-when they h...

This study examines the recent military build-ups in the ROK and Japan against North Korea’s ballistic missile programs in line with offensive realism. Offensive realism argues that the desire to survive in international anarchy encourages states to behave aggressively. Whenever possible-when they have the opportunities for more power and when the benefits outweigh the costs for the power-they seek more power by acting aggressively toward other states. First, this study addresses the implications and relevance of offensive realism as a tool for analyzing states’ behaviors. Secondly, this study summarizes the state of North Korea’s ballistic missile programs that may be used to attack the ROK and Japan, and then compares the responses of both countries against this threat. This study concludes that the two countries are proceeding to combine both active defense and offensive defense to cope with the security needs in the near future, and this kind of response is the product of strategic calculations of the two countries, not anything else. However, there is no guarantee that the strategic calculations necessarily yield a positive result. Instead, they can produce counterproductive results for the short to mid-term stability in Northeast Asia.

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