[논문]한국의 각 대륙별 수출입 동향과 수출 증대방안

최수호

doi:10.5392/jkca.2018.18.11.285

한국의 각 대륙별 수출입 동향과 수출 증대방안
Trends of Import and Export by Each Continent in Korea and Plans to Increase Exports 원문보기

한국콘텐츠학회논문지 = The Journal of the Korea Contents Association, v.18 no.11, 2018년, pp.285 - 297

초록
AI-Helper

본 연구의 목적은 각 대륙별 한국의 수출입액 동향을 살펴보고, 향후 한국 수출을 증대하기 위한 방안을 찾아보는데 있다. 각 대륙은 아시아, 유럽, 북미, 중남미, 중동을 선정하였다. 분석기간은 2000년 1월부터 2018년 4월까지 총 220개월이며, 관세청에서 자료를 수집하였다. 회귀분석결과, Coefficient가 아시아, 유럽, 북미, 중동, 중남미 순으로 높게 나왔다. 각 대륙별 시장은 서로 독립적으로 움직이고, t통계량과 p-value($${\leq_-}0.01$$)에서 통계적으로 유의하게 산출되었다. 최근 유럽, 중동, 중남미가 새로운 시장으로 부각되고 있다. 향후 한국의 수출 증대를 위해서는 중국과 동남아시아를 비롯한 아시아 시장에 대한 지속적인 관심이 필요하다. 또한 새로운 시장으로 떠오르는 유럽, 중동, 중남미에 대한 수출비중을 높이기 위해 효율적인 대응전략을 마련해야 한다.

Abstract ▼ AI-Helper

The purpose of this study is to examine the trends of import and export of Korea by each continent and to find ways to increase export to Korea in the future. Each continent selected Asia, Europe, North America, Central and South America, and the Middle East. The analysis period was 220 months from January 2000 to April 2018, and data were collected from the KCS. Regression analysis showed that the coefficient was higher in Asia, Europe, North America, Middle East and Latin America. The markets of each continent moved independently of each other and were statistically significant at t statistic and p-value(${\leq}0.01$). As a result of this study, Asia and North America have been major export markets in Korea. Europe, the Middle East and Central and South America are emerging as new markets in Korea. In order to increase Korea's exports in the future, there is a need for continued interest in Asian markets including China & Southeast Asia.

주제어

표/그림 (15)

표 Table 1. Countries in each continent
표 Table 2. Export Performance by Region
표 Table 3. Trade Balance by Region
표 Table 4. the Descriptive Statistics
표 Table 5. Correlation
표 Table 6. Regression Analysis: Dependent Variables - Korea
그림 Figure 1. Growth Rate
그림 Figure 2. Change Rate
그림 Figure 3. Distribution chart
그림 Figure 4. Scatter Chart
그림 Figure 5. ACF : Korea, Asia, Europe, North America, Central & South America, Middle East
그림 Figure 6. Period according to Frequency
표 Table 7. Autocorrelation Function : Korea
그림 Figure 7. Q-Q Charts
표 Table 8. Missing Value Analysis

AI 본문요약
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문제 정의

In this study, we looked at export trends of Korea by each continent and looked for ways to increase exports in the future. Each continent is divided into Asia, Europe, North America, Central & South America, and the Middle East.
In this study, we will examine the export trends of Korea by each continent and the ways of export increase in the future. Each continent is divided into Asia, Europe, North America, Central and South America, and the Middle East.
The purpose of this study is to examine the trends of Korea 's exports by each continent and find ways to increase exports to Korea in the future.
Kuwait does not have a long-term balance of economic growth, oil exports and oil consumption. The study suggests how the Middle East countries should grow in the future[23].

제안 방법

, Middle East exports to M&E Asia. The monthly data used in this study were numerical analysis, indicator analysis, and model analysis using Excel, SPSS and e-views. We will examine the extent to which each continent's exports account for Korea's total exports and what continent's exports will increase in the future.

대상 데이터

Each continent is divided into Asia, Europe, North America, Central and South America, and the Middle East. The data required for this study were collected from the trade statistics of the Korea Customs Service. The analysis period for each continent was 220 months from January 2000 to April 2018, and monthly data were used.

성능/효과

Park (2014) analyzed the impact of US quantitative easing on Korea⋅US trade relations. Research result, the US and Korea showed no significant change in export competitiveness due to quantitative easing. This is because Won/$ remains stable and some exports are competitive in the US market[16].
Seo & Kang (2016) studied the export competitiveness of Korea and China in the US market. Results first, Korea has a dominant market share in commodity code 27 than China. Second, the resilience between the two countries' exports is inelastic[15].
As a result, first, it seeks to balance loss and profit while enhancing trade competitiveness for services. Second, comparative disadvantages items should strengthen competitiveness, and comparative advantage items should strengthen responsiveness. Cost reduction and price competitiveness will continue to increase[17].
Hur at al (2016) analyzed the causal relationship between economic growth, oil exports and oil consumption in the United Arab Emirates, Iran, Bahrain, Kuwait, Iraq, Oman, Saudi Arabia. The analysis shows that the UAE, Bahrain, and Oman have a long-term balance between economic growth and oil consumption. Saudi Arabia, Iran and Iraq have long-term balances between economic growth and oil exports.

참고문헌 (26)

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Korea Customs Service, "Cosmetics Exports grew at an Average Annual Rate of 39.2%, Steady 'K Beauty' Popularity," Customs Planning Division Press Release (published June 28, 2018), pp. 1-4, 2018a.
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상세보기
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상세보기
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W. J. Kim, “The Effect of Korea's FDI to China on Korea's Exports to United States,” The Journal of Northeast Asian Economic Studies, Vol. 29, No. 4, pp. 1-19, 2017.
W. J. Kim, “The Impacts of China and the United States on the Korean Economy,” Korea Trade Review, Vol. 40, No. 1, pp. 59-87, 2015.
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D. G. Seo and S. J. Kang, “Study on the Export Competitiveness of China and Korea in the U.S. Market,” Journal of Industrial Economics and Business, Vol. 29, No. 4, pp. 1325-1344, 2015.
S. M. Park, “The Impact of USA-Korea Trade Relations Due to the Quantitative Easing of Americ,” The Journal of Korean Policy Studies, Vol. 14, No. 3, pp. 29-48, 2014.
J. H. Shim, “An Analysis of Comparative Advantage and Intra-Industry Trade in Korean Export Industry in Respect to Korea-U.S. FTA,” International Commerce and Information Review, Vol. 19, No. 4, pp. 175-197, 2017.
D. Ak, M. B. Kim, and H. R. Park, “The Effect of the American TBT on China's Export and the Countermeasures,” Journal of Korea Research Association of International Commerce, Vol. 17, No. 2, pp. 99-120, 2017.

상세보기
S. Y. Lee, “Effect of Export Insurance System on Export Promotion in U.S.,” The Journal of Korea Research Society for Customs, Vol. 17, No. 3, pp. 217-232, 2016.
S. N. Kim and S. J. Lee, “On the Relationship between ODA and Economic Cooperation among Korea and Latin American Countries,” Latin American and Caribbean Studies, Vol. 35, No. 1, pp. 277-305, 2016.
G. Y. Choi, “An Investigation to Outlook the Effect of FTA on Motor Car Export to Latin America and the Appropriate Action Plan -By Looking at Statistics and Factors that Influenced Export of Motor Cars to Chile-,” International Commerce and Information Review, Vol. 14, No. 3, pp. 139-158, 2012.
T. D. Yoon, “Brazil's Economic Structure and the Export Processing Zones (EPZ) : A Sign of Economic Structural Change?,” Latin American and Caribbean Studies, Vol. 32, No. 3, pp. 123-150, 2013.
G. B. Choi, Zaid Yahya Abdulkader, and E. N. Hur, “Empirical Study on the Relationship Among Economic Growth, Oil Consumption, and Oil Exports in the Middle East Countries,” Journal of the Korean Society of Mineral and Energy Resources Engineers, Vol. 53, No. 1, pp. 19-35, 2016.

상세보기
S. H. Seo, "Middle East Revive largest Export Market Construction, Auto parts, Steel Special expectation : Impacts and Opportunities on Korea," Chindia Plus, Vol. 108, pp. 30-33, 2015.
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