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RCPs 기후변화 시나리오에 따른 큰망초(Conyza sumatrensis)의 적합 서식지 분포 예측
Predicting the suitable habitat distribution of Conyza sumatrensis under RCP scenarios 원문보기

환경생물 = Korean journal of environmental biology, v.40 no.1, 2022년, pp.1 - 10  

김명현 (국립농업과학원 기후변화평가과) ,  최순군 (국립농업과학원 기후변화평가과) ,  조재필 ((주)유역통합관리연구원) ,  김민경 (국립농업과학원 기후변화평가과) ,  어진우 (국립농업과학원 기후변화평가과) ,  엽소진 (국립농업과학원 기후변화평가과) ,  방정환 (국립농업과학원 기후변화평가과)

초록
AI-Helper 아이콘AI-Helper

기후변화로 인한 지구온난화는 강수량과 기온에 영향을 주며, 다양한 종들의 서식지와 생물다양성에 상당한 영향을 줄 수 있다. 최근 국제 교류의 증가와 기후변화 등의 원인으로 국내로 새롭게 유입되어 정착하는 외래식물이 증가하고 있지만, 기후변화가 이들 외래식물의 국내 분포에 어떤 영향을 주는지에 대한 연구는 부족한 실정이다. 본 연구는 침입외래식물 큰망초(C. sumatrensis)의 현재 분포와 생물기후 변수를 활용하여 RCPs 기후변화 시나리오에 따른 적합 서식지 분포 변화를 예측하였다. 큰망초는 현재 우리나라 남부 지방에서 제한된 분포를 보이고 있으며, 이들의 분포에는 가장 건조한 분기의 평균기온(bio09), 가장 더운 달의 최고기온(bio05), 등온선(bio03)이 영향을 미치는 것으로 나타났다. 기후변화 시나리오에 따라 큰망초의 미래 적합 서식지 면적은 증가할 것으로 전망되었다. 큰망초와 같은 침입외래종의 분포 변화는 자생식물의 생존을 위협할 수 있으며 생태계 교란을 일으킬 수 있다. 따라서 기후변화에 따른 외래종 분포에 대한 연구는 자생식물뿐만 아니라 생물다양성 보전에 중요한 데이터로 활용될 수 있으며, 향후 서식지 복원과 생물자원을 관리하기 위한 정책자료로 활용될 수 있다.

Abstract AI-Helper 아이콘AI-Helper

Global warming has a major impact on the Earth's precipitation and temperature fluctuations, and significantly affects the habitats and biodiversity of many species. Although the number of alien plants newly introduced in South Korea has recently increased due to the increasing frequency of internat...

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