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NTIS 바로가기大韓交通學會誌 = Journal of Korean Society of Transportation, v.24 no.3 = no.89, 2006년, pp.113 - 123
명묘희 (도로교통안전관리공단) , 김광식 (성균관대학교 행정학과)
본 연구는 1990년대 이후 실시된 교통사고 줄이기 운동 실시, 무인단속카메라 설치, 좌석안전띠 착용 의무화, 음주운전 삼진아웃제 등 8가지 교통안전정책의 개입효과를 ARIMA방법을 사용하여 분석하였다. 분석의 관점은 교통안전정책 강화가 전체 교통사고에 미치는 영향. 교통안전정책 강화가 일정지역의 교통사고에 미치는 영향, 특정교통안전정책 강화가 특정 법규위반으로 인한 교통사고에 미치는 영향으로 세분하였다. 분석 결과 교통사고 줄이기 운동 실시, 교통법규위반 신고보상금제, 음주운전 삼진아웃제 등이 교통사고 사망자수를 줄이는데 효과가 있는 것으로 나타났으나 통계적으로 유의하지 못하였다.
This article evaluates the effects of eight traffic safety policies such as traffic accident reduction campaign, the seat belt law, three strike out driving while intoxicated, rewarding for reporting traffic offenders on the number of accidents and fatalities. Intervention analysis of time series is...
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