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Epidemiology and infection, v.148, 2020년, pp.e298 -
Arino, J. (Department of Mathematics & Data Science NEXUS, University of Manitoba , Winnipeg , Manitoba R3T 2N2 , Canada) , Bajeux, N. (Department of Mathematics, University of Manitoba , Winnipeg , Manitoba R3T 2N2 , Canada) , Portet, S. (Department of Mathematics & Data Science NEXUS, University of Manitoba , Winnipeg , Manitoba R3T 2N2 , Canada) , Watmough, J. (Department of Mathematics & Statistics, University of New Brunswick , Fredericton , New Brunswick E3B 5A3 , Canada)
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Using a stochastic model, we assess the risk of importation-induced local transmission chains in locations seeing few or no local transmissions and evaluate the role of quarantine in the mitigation of this risk. We find that the rate of importations plays a critical role in determining the risk that...
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